Funny what one big win can do for your BCS hopes and dreams. No team can recognize that as much as Clemson can after the first week of the last BCS season, after a huge home win over Georgia gave the Tigers a boost to No. 3 in this week’s simulated BCS rankings.
|Simulated BCS Rankings|
|1||Alabama Crimson Tide|
|5||South Carolina Gamecocks|
|Scroll down for more|
You’re familiar already with the top two teams, No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Oregon, who have become staples at the top of all kinds of BCS standings. But Clemson, though resurgent, has staked an early claim to the team to watch as the season wears on.
How did we get there? We’ve made the following changes to the BCS formula, to account for the pieces we have and the pieces we’re missing:
- We’ve replaced the Harris Poll, which wont be available until mid-October, with the AP Poll
- We’re ONLY using the available and up-to-date BCS computers, which at this point is just Massey’s non-BCS, Sagarin’s and Billingsley’s rankings. As the various computers are released before the start of the season, we’ll add them here and update the standings.
- In total, we’ll say with 44.4% accuracy that this is a good estimation of the BCS rankings
So it’s Clemson that makes the big leap, taking the No. 3 spot away from the same Bulldogs they beat on Saturday night. Behind them land the Pac-12’s other hope for BCS glory, Stanford, and the SEC’s second-best hope so far, South Carolina.
Ohio State, although landing comfortably in the top-three of both human element polls, suffers dearly from the three available computers, pulling in an average ranking of 13.6 despite their support across the board in the human element. Louisville also suffers terrible from the computers, not landing in the top-25 in two of the three available rankings.
Also of note is the strength of Alabama’s lead this early in the year. With one game gone, the Crimson Tide have a shockingly large lead of more than .1000, a big gulf for any team to cross.
But enough talk, explore our BCS Know How simulated preseason standings for yourself!
Here are the simulated preseason BCS rankings at the end of the first week:
2013 Simulated BCS Standings — September 3
|1||Alabama Crimson Tide||.9983|
|5||South Carolina Gamecocks||.7870|
|6||Ohio State Buckeyes||.7705|
|7||Texas A&M Aggies||.7662|
|10||Florida State Seminoles||.6152|
|12||Notre Dame Fighting Irish||.5733|
|13||Oklahoma State Cowboys||.5627|