Projected BCS Standings: BCS Becoming More Clear in Sixth Standings of 2013

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A week after very nearly knocking off Ohio State from its perch at No. 3, Baylor falls by the wayside with a loss to Oklahoma State. Bad news for the Bears, and good news for the Buckeyes, which can slide comfortably into the No. 3 spot knowing they’re without equal when it comes to a ‘replacement’ pick for the title game.

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida State Seminoles
3 Ohio State Buckeyes
4 Auburn Tigers
5 Missouri Tigers
Scroll down for more

Of course, holding those poll positions are Alabama and Florida State, sitting comfortably after a couple of strong wins. After the Buckeyes, however? It’s a mess

Now with more than just a handful of once-beaten teams on the BCS roster, the voters will have some choosing to do. Surprisingly, Oregon no longer counts among the once-beaten after losing to Arizona, but a handful of Tigers, plus many more do still have that one-loss sheen.

Last week’s No. 6, Auburn, likely makes that leap into the top-four, thanking Baylor and Oregon on its way up. After that, Clemson and Missouri will battle it out for No. 5 — that race should be somewhat closer this week than it was last as the voting pieces are placed back to teams somewhat haphazardly.

Oklahoma State and Stanford will in the discussion, too, thanking Texas A&M for not making their lives quite as difficult as they could be.

Oh, and Ohio State could finally get some Big Ten company in the top-12 with the emergence of Michigan State, mostly moving up because other teams are getting out of the way, fast.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day @BCSKnowHow and here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Here’s what the BCS standings will likely look like when they are released tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Six (November 24th)

Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida State Seminoles
3 Ohio State Buckeyes
4 Auburn Tigers
5 Missouri Tigers
6 Clemson Tigers
7 Oklahoma State Cowboys
8 Stanford Cardinal
9 Baylor Bears
10 South Carolina Gamecocks
11 Oregon Ducks
12 Michigan State Spartans
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Sixth BCS Rankings of 2012: No. 1 Notre Dame, No. 2 Alabama Ride High As Season Chaotically Winds Down

Let it never be said the BCS didn’t give us drama.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Georgia Bulldogs
4 Florida Gators
5 Oregon Ducks
Scroll down for more

With a clear-cut, simple equation for the BCS title game seemingly resting on the table just a weekend ago, the events of late Saturday night threw the BCS back into chaos, and now promises us yet another drama-filled final two weekends of college football.

Losses by Kansas State and Oregon open the BCS up again and Notre Dame proves the one to take advantage, as the Irish claim their first-ever BCS No. 1 ranking in the sixth iteration of the rankings in 2012.

Alabama, thought to be out of the running just a week ago, is now squarely back in the title picture at No. 2, needing just to win out to get back to the title game again. In order to win out, however, the once-beaten Tide will have to contend with No. 3 Georgia, which claimed that spot in both polls Sunday afternoon.

Georgia’s spot outside the top two is a moot point if the Bulldogs can win next weekend and then beat the Crimson Tide. Georgia will be BCS title game bound if they beat No. 2 Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.

The SEC rounds out the top four with Florida, boosted by a strong computer ranking to No. 4. Florida is still hoping for some upset ahead of them, but have set themselves up nicely for a BCS bowl bid, either by virtue of their single loss or by the BCS selection process that would select the Gators for a BCS bowl if they finish as No. 3 and the SEC champion plays for the BCS title.

Now-once-beaten Oregon and Kansas State land at No. 5 and No. 6 respectively, with Oregon hampered by an already poor computer aggregate before their first loss and Kansas State bolstered by computer support that didn’t waver much despite a tough loss to Baylor.

The SEC is back at it again at No. 7, as LSU grabs the distinction as highest-ranked two-loss team in the nation. Just behind the Tigers sit the newly top-10 Stanford Cardinal. Stanford lands firmly inside the top 10 after a victory over Oregon this weekend.

Texas A&M restarts the SEC conga line at No. 9, with No. 12 South Carolina rounding out the unprecedented presence of the SEC in the BCS top 12.

Florida State still languishes at No. 10 despite huge support on the poll side, with Clemson equally getting hammered by  the computers.

So. Two weeks sure to be drama-filled and heart breaking for some remain. We’re far from done with the BCS, the season or the various implications that will be in store for the weekends to come. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout these final few weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the sixth BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Six — November 18th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .9973
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .9333
3 Georgia Bulldogs .8763
4 Florida Gators .8434
5 Oregon Ducks .8318
6 Kansas State Wildcats .7692
7 LSU Tigers .7308
8 Stanford Cardinal .7077
9 Texas A&M Aggies .6526
10 Florida State Seminoles .6363
11 Clemson Tigers .6056
12 South Carolina Gamecocks .5871
13 Oklahoma Sooners .5677
14 Nebraska Cornhuskers .4790
15 Oregon State Beavers .4499
16 Texas Longhorns .4235

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Some good, some bad. Top four, which are the important ones, were good. A mixed bag moving down. The real thing to key on is Florida State’s continued lag. It’s real and it’s here to stay unless the Seminoles can top the Gators.

Harris Interactive Poll Week 12: Notre Dame and Alabama lead the way

Notre Dame claims 107 of the available 115 first-place ballots to grab the top spot in this week’s Harris Poll.

Alabama grabs the remaining eight, with Georgia and Oregon occupying the No. 3 and No. 4 spots, respectively.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – November 18

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2863 .996
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 2732 .950
3 Georgia Bulldogs 2573 .895
4 Oregon Ducks 2483 .864
5 Florida Gators 2242 .780
6 Florida State Seminoles 2231 .776
7 Kansas State Wildcats 2161 .752
8 LSU Tigers 2077 .722
9 Clemson Tigers 1953 .679
10 Texas A&M Aggies 1909 .664
11 Stanford Cardinal 1897 .660
12 South Carolina Gamecocks 1647 .573

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week 12: Notre Dame overwhelmingly No. 1 after weekend of upheaval

Not surprisingly, Notre Dame lands at the top of Sunday’s USA Today Coaches’ Poll, after Kansas State and Oregon move out of the way for the Irish. The Irish collected 56 first-place votes.

Alabama grabs that all-important No. 2 spot from the 59 coaches, two of which gave the No. 1 ranking back to the Crimson Tide a week after they were left without one.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – November 18

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1469 .996
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 1386 .940
3 Georgia Bulldogs 1348 .914
4 Oregon Ducks 1227 .832
5 Florida State Seminoles 1199 .813
6 Florida Gators 1166 .791
7 LSU Tigers 1062 .720
8 Kansas State Wildcats 1056 .716
9 Clemson Tigers 1029 .698
10 Texas A&M Aggies 994 .674
11 Stanford Cardinal 934 .633
12 South Carolina Gamecocks 798 .541

Projected BCS Standings: Notre Dame Rises Above Chaos To No. 1 In Sixth BCS Rankings of 2012

Two weekends and three major upsets — November BCS chaos has struck again in 2012. Who is left standing?

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Georgia Bulldogs
4 Florida Gators
5 Kansas State Wildcats
Scroll down for more

This mid-November weekend it was BCS No. 1 Kansas State and No. 2 Oregon that took the fall, leaving us anticipating a set of BCS rankings that will not resemble anything we’ve seen to this point.

When we finally do get these sixth BCS rankings, it will be the Notre Dame Fighting Irish that paces the rest of the FBS world. Yes, the 11-0 Irish will stake a claim to a top ranking in the BCS with just one test remaining, that being against USC next weekend.

Win, and the Irish can make their first appearance in a national championship game in the BCS era. That’s the luxury of the BCS’s top spot, and the Irish will be solidly there.

But lo and behold, right back in the conversation and again controlling their own destiny for a BCS title game berth will be tomorrow’s No. 2, Alabama. The Tide fell just to No. 4 after their shocking loss to Texas A&M last weekend, and despite a lopsided victory over an FCS team, the Tide will prosper greatly because of what happened around them.

The Tide had started an unprecedented grouping of six SEC teams in a row in spots four through nine in last week’s BCS rankings. This weekend, the group will spread out a bit, but not before two SEC squads — the Georgia Bulldogs and Florida Gators — take the No. 3 and No. 4 spots in the BCS rankings tomorrow.

Kansas State will interrupt the SEC party at No. 5, keeping a strong computer ranking after falling to a respectable Baylor squad. Oregon lands at the same general spot, given its loss to previously BCS No. 13 Stanford.

The SEC grabs two more spots in the top eight, with LSU and Texas A&M, before Stanford and Florida State round out the top 10. South Carolina and Oklahoma complete the top 12.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standings will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Six (November 18th)

Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Georgia Bulldogs
4 Florida Gators
5 Kansas State Wildcats
6 Oregon Ducks
7 LSU Tigers
8 Texas A&M Aggies
9 Stanford Cardinal
10 Florida State Seminoles
11 South Carolina Gamecocks
12 Oklahoma Sooners

Heisman Watch Week 12: Is Johnny Football Running Away With The Heisman?

Collin Klein

Collin Klein, leader of the newest No. 1 team in the BCS, came into Saturday with his grip on the Heisman race slipping. It’s certainly up for grabs again after Saturday. Sure, Klein’s three total touchdowns, two passing and one rushing, were important, but the thing that had kept Klein above the pack in the chase for the trophy — winning — went by the wayside on Saturday. Klein’s team suffered its first loss, and with it, Klein’s claim as the best player on the best team in the country is no longer true.

Johnny Manziel

The young gun in the Heisman race, Manziel took full advantage of what was offered to him Saturday — a chance to rack up some impressive statistics against a weaker opponent in Sam Houston State. Manziel did just that, putting up more than 350 yards in total offense to go with five total touchdowns against the Bearkats in Texas A&M’s big victory. Manziel was efficient, completing 14 of 20 passes for 267 yards and throwing just one pick, while racking up an even 100 yards on the ground. Manziel could be the favorite as we head down the home stretch.

Marqise Lee

Loss after loss, USC has fallen from the national title picture, but despite the losses, USC has produced a Heisman candidate producing at unprecedented levels. Marqise Lee did it again against UCLA, putting up 158 yards and a touchdown against the Bruins to burn through yet another Pac-12 defense easily. The wide receiver was not expected to vie for the trophy, given quarterback Matt Barkley and fellow wide receiver, junior Robert Woods’ prowess, but Lee has emerged as the top threat in the Trojans’ offense.

Manti Te’o

Manti Te’o might stake a claim to that title Klein has given up. The Fighting Irish linebacker may now be the best player on the best team in the country, as Notre Dame is expected to take over the BCS’s No. 1 spot when the sixth rankings are released tomorrow. Te’o was strong again against Wake Forest in the Irish’s shutout of the Demon Deacons on his senior day, recording a season-low five tackles, but also recording his sixth interception. The Irish linebacker is certainly staking a claim as the most visible defensive player in the nation.

Braxton Miller

His status grows the more the Buckeyes win, especially given Braxton Miller’s inability to lead his team to a bowl game or a Big Ten Championship Game. With their overtime victory over Wisconsin on Saturday, Ohio State moved to 11-0 on the season despite their postseason ineligibility. That in and of itself should be praise worthy for the Buckeyes quarterback. But his statistics hold up, as Miller was quiet and efficient behind center, completing 10 of 18 passes on Saturday.

BCS Chaos

Undefeated and headed for a showdown in the BCS National Championship Game if they could win out, No. 1 Kansas State and No. 2 Oregon lost Saturday night, sending the BCS into chaos.

The losses do a lot to the national title picture, but the implications run deeper. Every single BCS bowl picture has been shifted. Every thing we thought we knew has changed. Did you win on Saturday as a ranked team? Your outlook is likely different now. I’m talking to you, SEC.

Projections will be up following Oregon State’s late night showdown with California. Because yes, the Beavers might not be done impacting the BCS picture quite yet.

Stay tuned. More to come.