Harris Interactive Poll Week 11: LSU Gains Unanimous Support, Oregon Up To No. 4


A week after just missing unanimous support from the Harris Poll, LSU gains all 115 first-place votes to grab a perfect 1.000 BCS vote share.

Oregon jumps to No. 4 after beating Stanford, who only drops to No. 7 in the poll.

Boise State sees plenty of support disappear after losing to TCU, dropping to No. 11.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – November 13

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 2875 1.000
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys 2750 .957
3 Alabama Crimson Tide 2620 .911
4 Oregon Ducks 2545 .855
5 Oklahoma Sooners 2379 .827
6 Arkansas Razorbacks 2297 .799
7 Stanford Cardinal 2041 .710
8 Clemson Tigers 2024 .704
9 Virginia Tech Hokies 1949 .678
10 Houston Cougars 1792 .623
11 Boise State Broncos 1766 .614
12 Michigan State Spartans 1471 .512

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week 11: Oklahoma State Rises to No. 2, Oregon to No. 4


Boise State and Stanford’s losses give us just three undefeated teams in the nation. The two losses gave us a bit of upheaval in the Coaches’ Poll, as Oklahoma State climbs to No. 2, while Oregon’s victory over the Cardinal gives them enough to jump all the way to No. 4.

Arkansas is all the way up to No. 6, while Houston — the third undefeated team after LSU and Oklahoma State — rests at No. 10.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – November 13

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 1475 1.000
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1410 .956
3 Alabama Crimson Tide 1340 .908
4 Oregon Ducks 1300 .881
5 Oklahoma Sooners 1228 .833
6 Arkansas Razorbacks 1170 .793
7 Virginia Tech Hokies 1045 .708
8 Clemson Tigers 1042 .706
9 Stanford Cardinal 1024 .694
10 Houston Cougars 927 .628
11 Boise State Broncos 831 .563
12 Michigan State Spartans 791 .536

Projected BCS Standings: Oregon To Be Rewarded Heartily in Fifth BCS Rankings of 2011

Computers, voters and prognosticators are nice, but we never really see the truth until the games are played on the field.

That was proven once again this weekend as the seemingly infallible Boise State was defeated and Stanford fell hard at home to Oregon.

Two more undefeated teams have bit the dust, leaving us with just three: LSU, Oklahoma State and the unexpected powerhouse Houston Cougars.

Our fifth BCS rankings will reveal quite a bit about what we can expect the rest of the season, but of course, the play of the teams will dictate far more than anything else.

Don’t expect much change at the top. LSU and Oklahoma State continue to be in the BCS drivers seat — win out and both will be at the top come season’s end, and in the title game.

Alabama, who stuck ahead of Stanford last week, will once again probably stick at No. 3, ahead of the latest Pac-12 team to spring to the top of the pile, Oregon.

The Ducks are sure to get another big boost after its victory over Stanford, all the way up to No. 4. Boosts from both the human elements and another bump from the computers for beating a strong Stanford team will likely leap them past Oklahoma and keep them ahead of Arkansas. The Ducks could even challenge Alabama for the No. 3 spot, but for now, we’re projecting they fall just short.

Could the Ducks sneak by Alabama with a victory over USC next week? Possibly, but again, it remains to be seen.

Oklahoma will be right back in the thick of things at No. 5, awaiting its chance to play Oklahoma State on its last weekend of the season.

Losses by any of these teams would once again throw a wrench into any expectations of the season to come. Will we see an Alabama-LSU rematch? An Oregon-LSU rematch? Neither? The fact that we can’t possibly know means we’re upon best part of the college football season.

This is the remainder of the season waiting for us. With unexpected things happening nearly every weekend, its hard to project just how important each weekend might be. But that’s the reward for being college football fans.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of all of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standing will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Five (November 13th)

Rank Team
1 LSU Tigers
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys
3 Alabama Crimson Tide
4 Oregon Ducks
5 Oklahoma Sooners
6 Arkansas Razorbacks
7 Clemson Tigers
8 Virginia Tech Hokies
9 Stanford Cardinal
10 Houston Cougars
11 South Carolina Gamecocks
12 Boise State Broncos

Heisman Watch Week 11: Could Luck’s Loss Be Richardson, Moore or the Field’s Gain?

Trent Richardson

Proving once again that there are no easy weekend in the SEC, Richardson and Alabama had a difficult time getting in a groove against Mississippi State.

Richardson did, however, record 127 yards and a touchdown on the ground combined with 26 more yards through the air. It was Richardson’s score in the fourth quarter that all but sealed the tough victory for the Crimson Tide.

The junior’s Saturday night performance gives Richardson more than 1,000 yards on the season for the first time in his career to go with his 17 touchdowns.

Case Keenum

When 325 passing yards and three touchdown passes is an off day, you know you’ve put together a statistical season for the ages.

Houston quarterback Case Keenum has posted some of the best stat lines in the entire country this season, but Thursday’s performance from Keenum was uncharacteristically slow. Still, the all-time leader in touchdowns in FBS history had a strong night, and has solidified his name as one to watch as we reach the final portion of the college football season.

Two more games remain for Keenum and the Cougars — SMU and Tulsa — and with two more strong Keenum-esque performances, the Cougar signal-caller might just be able to throw a wrench into the Heisman race.

Russell Wilson

Teetering on the edge of the Heisman race, Russell Wilson had an inspired day against Minnesota, finishing 16-of-17 and passing for a season-high four touchdowns.

Wilson’s day could have been perfect, but receiver Nick Toon dropped Wilson’s final attempt mid-way through the third quarter, even though the pass was on the money. The performance likely keeps Wilson in the conversation at least for another week, but what is truly helping Wilson’s candidacy is the resiliency of Wisconsin after losing two straight. The senior’s performance will likely be weighed against the Badgers’ overall performance in the weeks to come.

Andrew Luck

Seemingly the leader in this race for weeks and weeks, Andrew Luck once again had a strong night against a tough Pac-12 foe. This time, however, Stanford was not able to pull of victory. And Luck’s stat line somewhat belied the actual performance he left on the field. Luck finished the night with 227 yards and three touchdowns.

Uncharacteristically, he also threw two interceptions, although the blame for one did not fall squarely on Luck’s throw. So now the question becomes, is the race open once again?

Luck still seems to be the prohibitive favorite here, and by a large margin. With a loss and a less-than-stellar performance, however, the question remains. Who, if anyone, will challenge Luck for this trophy?

Kellen Moore

Year in and year out, Boise State looks to break into the BCS conversation as a school with an outsider’s shot and an outsider’s mentality. Kellen Moore also has spent the past few seasons trying to break into the Heisman conversation and win the trophy from a non-AQ conference, something that is becoming more and more difficult to do. Moore, however, did make his way to New York City as a Heisman finalist last year, and Boise State seems just on the edge of breaking into the title game every season.

Unfortunately for both hopes, losses do no favors in terms of making the rest of the country believe you’re on the same level as the more well-exposed teams and quarterbacks. And when TCU beat Moore and the Broncos Saturday, both hopes were seemingly dashed.

Of course, Moore had another strong statistical performance, passing for more than 320 yards and two touchdowns, but the loss will certainly hurt his chances at the trophy itself.

BCS Implications Worksheet Post-Week 11

Down the stretch of the BCS season, a team’s opponents become an important component of a team’s overall resume to watch.

Not only does it help to define the relative strength of said team, but also has a large effect on that team’s BCS computer performance.

With that in mind, we’ve compiled a look at the BCS’s top teams and their important games — both already played and upcoming — to get a better perspective on which teams’ performances will have implications on the BCS.

Each week we’ll give the rundown for the number of teams that seem to be within striking distance of the top two spots. This week the striking distance looks to go all the way down to the No. 7 Wisconsin, who seems to be at the outermost limits of plausibility for a shot at the BCS title game and in the driver’s seat for a Big Ten title.

Once again, each team is listed with their current BCS rank, record and strength of schedule (according to Jeff Sagarin’s ratings).

Below each BCS contender are their most important opponents, both which they have already played (with those results) and those upcoming.

Their opponents will also be listed with a record and their current Sagarin or BCS ranking depending on which is available. Teams will be listed in order of importance to that team’s BCS performance. Each opponent is also listed with an SOS to give you a better sense of how they might perform in the coming weeks.

BCS No. 1 Oregon Ducks (10-0) SOS: 22

Important Games Already Played

  • BCS No. 6 Stanford Cardinal (9-1) SOS: 8 — Win 52-31
  • Sagarin No. 14 USC (7-3) SOS: 7 — Win 53-32
  • Sagarin No. 28 California (5-5) SOS: 6 — Win 15-13
  • Sagarin No. 31 UCLA Bruins (4-5) SOS: 3 — Win 60-13
  • Sagarin No. 36 Washington Huskies (3-6) SOS: 1 — Win 53-16
  • Sagarin No. 38 Arizona State Sun Devils (4-6) SOS: 5 — Win 42-31

Important Games Remaining

  • BCS No. 22 Arizona Wildcats (7-3) SOS: 11 — November 26th
  • Sagarin No. 34 Oregon State Beavers (4-5) SOS: 4 — December 4th

BCS No. 2 Auburn Tigers (11-0) SOS: 37

Important Games Already Played

  • BCS No. 5 LSU Tigers (9-1) SOS: 27 — Win 24-17
  • BCS No. 13 Arkansas Razorbacks (8-2) SOS: 49 — Win 65-43
  • BCS No. 17 South Carolina Gamecocks (7-3) SOS: 15 — Win 35-27
  • BCS No. 21 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 34 — Win 17-14

Important Games Remaining

  • BCS No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-2) SOS: 12 — November 26th
  • SEC Championship Game vs. BCS No. 17 South Carolina Gamecocks — December 4th
    • Note: Most computers only give a team credit for beating a team once, therefore this game will have little impact with the computers, but could still be important to the human poll voters.

BCS No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs (11-0) SOS: 69

Important Games Already Played

  • BCS No. 23 Utah Utes (8-2) SOS: 81 — Win 47-7
  • Sagarin No. 25 Baylor Bears (7-4) SOS: 40 — Win 45-10
  • Sagarin No. 34 Oregon State Beavers (4-5) SOS: 4 — Win 30-21
  • Sagarin No. 42 Air Force Falcons (7-4) SOS: 58 — Win 38-7
  • Sagarin No. 43 San Diego State Aztecs (7-3) SOS: 95 — Win 40-35

Important Games Remaining

  • None Remain

BCS No. 4 Boise State Broncos (9-0) SOS: 82

Important Games Already Played

  • BCS No. 16 Virginia Tech Hokies (8-2) SOS: 62 — Win 33-30
  • Sagarin No. 27 Hawaii Warriors (7-3) SOS: 50 — November 6th
  • Sagarin No. 34 Oregon State Beavers (4-5) SOS: 4 — Win 37-24

Important Games Remaining

  • BCS No. 18 Nevada Wolfpack (8-1) SOS: 86 — November 26th

BCS No. 5 LSU Tigers (9-1) SOS: 27

Important Games Already Played

  • BCS No. 2 Auburn Tigers (11-0) SOS: 37 — Loss 24-17
  • BCS No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-2) SOS: 12 — Win 24-21
  • BCS No. 21 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 34 — Win 29-7
  • Sagarin No. 30 Florida Gators (6-4) SOS: 17 — Win 33-29
  • Sagarin No. 37 North Carolina Tar Heels (6-4) SOS: 21 — Win 30-24

Important Games Remaining

  • BCS No. 13 Arkansas Razorbacks (8-2) SOS: 49 — November 27th

BCS No. 6 Stanford Cardinal (9-1) SOS: 8

Important Games Already Played

  • BCS No. 1 Oregon Ducks (10-0) SOS: 22 — Loss 52-31
  • Sagarin No. 14 USC (7-3) SOS: 7 — Win 37-35
  • BCS No. 22 Arizona Wildcats (7-3) SOS: 11 –Win 42-17
  • Sagarin No. 31 UCLA Bruins (4-5) SOS: 3 — Win 35-0
  • Sagarin No. 36 Washington Huskies (3-6) SOS: 1 — Win 41-0
  • Sagarin No. 38 Arizona State Sun Devils (4-6) SOS: 5 — Win 17-13
  • Sagarin No. 46 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-5) SOS: 28 — Win 37-14

Important Games Remaining

  • Sagarin No. 34 Oregon State Beavers (4-5) SOS: 4 — November 27th
  • Sagarin No. 28 California (5-5) SOS: 6 — November 20th

BCS No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers (9-1) SOS: 83

Important Games Already Played

  • BCS No. 9 Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1) SOS: 85 — Win 31-18
  • BCS No. 12 Michigan State Spartans (9-1) SOS: 63 — Loss 34-24
  • BCS No. 20 Iowa Hawkeyes (7-3) SOS: 48 — Win 31-30
  • Sagarin No. 38 Arizona State Sun Devils (4-6) SOS: 5 — Win 20-19

Important Games Remaining

  • Sagarin No. 35 Michigan Wolverines (7-3) SOS: 56 — November 20th
  • Sagarin No. 49 Northwestern Wildcats (7-3) SOS: 89 — November 27th

Big Ten, Big 12 and Big East Rundown Week 11

Big Ten

Conference Leader: Wisconsin (9-1, 5-1)

Lurking: Michigan State (9-1, 5-1)

Game of Last Week: Northwestern 21 vs. Iowa 17. A last minute drive — which would prove to be his last of the season — engineered by Wildcat quarterback Dan Persa gave Northwestern the upset victory, their fifth win over Iowa in six tries.

Game of Next Week: Ohio State vs. Iowa. The game has slightly less importance after Iowa’s loss to Northwestern, but the test will be just as still for the Buckeyes in Iowa City.

Bowl Eligible Teams: Michigan State Spartans, Ohio State Buckeyes, Wisconsin Badgers, Iowa Hawkeyes, Northwestern Wildcats, Michigan Wolverines, Penn State Nittany Lions.

Big 12

Conference Leaders: Nebraska (9-1, 5-1; North Division) and Oklahoma State (9-1, 5-1; South Division)

Lurking: Missouri (8-2, 4-2; North Division) and Texas A&M (7-3, 4-2; South Division)

Game of Last Week: Texas A&M 42 vs. Baylor 30. A meeting between two surprise contenders in the Big 12 conference proved to be an affirmation of the Aggies victory over Oklahoma the week before.

Game of Next Week: Nebraska vs. Texas A&M. A victory here would assure Nebraska of the Big 12 North title and a berth in the Big 12 Championship Game, while a victory for the Aggies would keep them in the race for the South.

Bowl Eligible Teams: Missouri Tigers, Oklahoma Sooners, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Nebraska Cornhuskers, Baylor Bears, Kansas State Wildcats, Texas A&M Aggies.

Big East

Conference Leader: Pittsburgh (5-4, 3-1)

Lurking: Syracuse (7-3, 4-2)

Game of Last Week: Connecticut 30 vs. Pittsburgh 28. UConn running back Johnathan Todman ran for 222 yards and the Huskies converted a fourth down in their own territory to give the Panthers their first Big East loss and reopen the Big East title race.

Game of Next Week: Connecticut vs. Syracuse. Although no game seems to be a “knockout game” in the Big East race this year, victories by either team would certainly help their aspirations for a Big East conference title.

Bowl Eligible Teams: Syracuse Orange, South Florida Bulls, West Virginia Mountaineers.

ACC, Pac-10 and SEC Rundown Week 11

Atlantic Coast Conference

Conference Leaders: Florida State (7-3, 5-2; Atlantic Division) and Virginia Tech (8-2, 6-0; Coastal Division)

Lurking: Maryland (7-3, 4-2; Atlantic Division) and Miami (7-3, 5-2; Coastal Division)

Game of Last Week: Florida State 16 vs. Clemson 13. Kicker Dustin Hopkins blasted a 55-yard game-winning kick to give the Seminoles a win after two crushing losses in previous weeks.

Game of Next Week: Virginia Tech vs. Miami. A victory here will give Virginia Tech the Coastal Division crown, while a Miami victory leaves the conference race up for grabs on the final weekend.

Bowl Eligible Teams: Florida State Seminoles, Virginia Tech Hokies, Maryland Terrapins, North Carolina State Wolfpack, North Carolina Tar Heels, Miami Hurricanes.

Pac-10

Conference Leader: Oregon (10-0, 7-0)

Lurking: Stanford (9-1, 6-1)

Game of Last Week: Oregon 15 vs. California 13. The Bears were able to do what many had tried and failed to do — stop Oregon’s explosive offense. But even a valiant effort on defense just wasn’t enough as a missed field goal doomed the Bears and allowed Oregon to remain undefeated and at No. 1 in the BCS.

Game of Next Week: Stanford vs. California. Just a week after giving Oregon all kinds of trouble, the Bears will welcome Stanford to Berkeley for the revival of the rivalry game, hoping to knock the Cardinal out of the BCS at-large race.

Bowl Eligible Teams: Oregon Ducks, Arizona Wildcats, Stanford Cardinal.

SEC

Conference Leaders: South Carolina (7-3, 5-3; East Division) and Auburn (11-0, 7-0; West Division) have clinched their respective conference titles and will play in the SEC Championship Game on December 4th.

Game of Last Week: Auburn 49 vs. Georgia 31. A recently revitalized Georgia team gave the Tigers all they could handle for about three quarters until Cam Newton and Auburn pulled away and clinched the SEC West crown.

Game of Next Week: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State. A very important game in terms of bowl positioning and for Arkansas, a slim chance of keeping a BCS at-large bid hope alive.

Bowl Eligible Teams: LSU Tigers, Auburn Tigers, Alabama Crimson Tide, Mississippi State Bulldogs, Arkansas Razorbacks, South Carolina Gamecocks, Florida Gators, Kentucky Wildcats.

Fifth BCS Rankings of 2010: Boise State Closes the Gap On TCU

Time and time again on Saturday the top teams in the BCS chase were tested and seemed in danger of being the latest victim of an upset-filled 2010 season.

In the end, however, none of the teams actually fell and at first glance the fifth BCS standings of the year look mighty similar to the last edition we saw.

But if you take a closer look, important changes in spread between serious BCS contenders could prove important as we hit the final stretch of the college football season.

Oregon extends their lead over Auburn as projected as they improve their computer rankings, taking much of the strength away from TCU and staying ahead of the Eagles despite falling support in the human polls.

Possibly the most important development of this set of BCS standings is the suddenly shrunken gap between TCU and Boise State, although the teams did not switch positions in the BCS as they did in the day’s human polls.

After Utah lost to Notre Dame and TCU struggled to beat San Diego State, many of the pollsters decided that their lifting of TCU past Boise State last weekend may have been somewhat premature.

Boise State’s improved human element rating combined with the Broncos ability to close the computer gap on the Horned Frogs leaves the battle for the No. 3 BCS position wide open.

Yes, at this point in the season TCU has a hold on the spot, but continued overwhelming success from Boise against strong teams like Fresno State and Nevada could mean a Boise State jump over TCU, and leave the Broncos as the first team in if either Oregon or Auburn should falter.

Furthermore, Boise State and TCU are largely clear of the rest of the field in the BCS, meaning that it is unlikely that a one-loss AQ-conference team would be able to catch either of the non-AQ darlings at the end of the year.

The only possibility that remains for a one-loss team to bypass either team is if Auburn is to fall to Alabama in the Iron Bowl and yet still win the SEC — that circumstance could be disastrous for the BCS in either case.

That group of one-loss BCS conference teams is led overwhelmingly by LSU at No. 5, followed by Stanford, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Ohio State.

The most important development in this group is the continuing gap between Wisconsin and Ohio State in the BCS rankings — as if the Big Ten title race comes down to tiebreakers, the fact that the Badgers are ahead of the Buckeyes in the BCS (along with a head-to-head victory) would all but assure Wisconsin a berth in the Rose Bowl.

Further down the rankings we see a climb back into relevance for the Alabama Crimson Tide as they prepare for that showdown against Auburn. The Crimson Tide are up one spot this week to No. 11.

Surprise Big 12 contender Oklahoma State stays just ahead of the Tide, and are well in position to take the Big 12 title and a Fiesta Bowl bid if they continue to win.

So with all of that in mind, here’s this week’s set of BCS rankings:

BCS Standings Week Five – November 14th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Oregon Ducks .9753
2 Auburn Tigers .9687
3 TCU Horned Frogs .8966
4 Boise State Broncos .8634
5 LSU Tigers .8243
6 Stanford Cardinal .7553
7 Wisconsin Badgers .7258
8 Nebraska Cornhuskers .7203
9 Ohio State Buckeyes .6674
10 Oklahoma State Cowboys .6601
11 Alabama Crimson Tide .6151
12 Michigan State Spartans .6066
13 Arkansas Razorbacks .5133
14 Oklahoma Sooners .4728
15 Missouri Tigers .4563
16 Virginia Tech Hokies .3676

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Switched Wisconsin and Nebraska, was expecting a better bump from the computers for the Cornhuskers. Otherwise nailed the top 12.

Harris Interactive Poll Week 11: Boise State Squeaks Ahead of TCU

As in this afternoon’s Coaches’ Poll, the Boise State Broncos passed the TCU Horned Frogs in today’s Harris Interactive Poll.

The distance between the two teams is slight, just eight points or a .003 share of the vote, but the switch of position in both polls speaks volumes about what the teams’ opponents performance is doing to their BCS hopes.

Oregon remains the No. 1 team but loses a big chunk of support and sees Auburn slowly creep up behind them, which will put their No. 1 BCS ranking on shakier ground moving forward.

Oregon collects 65 first-place votes to Auburn’s 35, while Boise State receives 11 to TCU’s three.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – November 14th

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Oregon Ducks 2788 .978
2 Auburn Tigers 2733 .959
3 Boise State Broncos 2591 .909
4 TCU Horned Frogs 2583 .906
5 Wisconsin Badgers 2268 .796
6 LSU Tigers 2241 .786
7 Ohio State Buckeyes 2142 .752
8 Stanford Cardinal 2118 .743
9 Nebraska Cornhuskers 1971 .692
10 Michigan State Spartans 1753 .615
11 Alabama Crimson Tide 1693 .594
12 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1657 .581

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week 11: Boise State Jumps Back Over TCU

Just one week removed from seeing TCU lap them without dropping a game, Boise State takes advantage of TCU’s struggles and Utah’s loss on Saturday to reclaim the No. 3 spot in this week’s USA Today Coaches’ Poll.

The Broncos reclaimed the spot directly behind the two prohibitive national title favorites Oregon and Auburn on the strength of five first-place votes — just one less than No. 2 Auburn received.

Oregon remains well atop the rankings, pulling in 46 of the available 59 first-place votes, although the Ducks did see their support falter slightly after the California Bears took them to the wire on Saturday night.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – November 14th

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Oregon Ducks 1457 .987
2 Auburn Tigers 1397 .947
3 Boise State Broncos 1329 .901
4 TCU Horned Frogs 1318 .894
5 Wisconsin Badgers 1197 .812
6 LSU Tigers 1175 .797
7 Ohio State Buckeyes 1107 .751
8 Stanford Cardinal 1066 .723
9 Nebraska Cornhuskers 1061 .719
10 Oklahoma State Cowboys 913 .619
11 Michigan State Spartans 892 .605
12 Alabama Crimson Tide 828 .561