BCS implications and strength of schedule worksheet for Week 14

So, what has your team accomplished in 2012?

With the season coming to a close on Saturday, now’s the time to take stock of what 2012 will be remembered for. Some teams have been short-changed, others have perhaps been given more than their fair. Most notably, at least one of the top six BCS teams this week will not make a BCS bowl, and perhaps more than one.

As the season draws down, we do have a bit of drama in the lower ranks of the BCS, with a non-AQ chase for a BCS buster bid. All that is explained further in our in-depth look at the battle, but for reference, we’ve included Kent State, Boise State and Northern Illinois in this week’s edition of the implications worksheet.

As we have all season, we compiled our implications and schedule strength worksheet suing the BCS rankings and Jeff Sagarin’s computer ranking to look at what the nation’s best teams have accomplished, where they’re headed and the potential pitfalls and dangers associated with their upcoming schedule.

What will you find here? The top eight BCS teams (or smaller, if the “striking distance” shrinks), along with their record and strength of schedule, according to Sagarin.

Each team is also listed with key games already played, and key games to come. Key games are any against the BCS top 25 or the Sagarin top 60. If teams are unlisted in the BCS, they are listed with their Sagarin rank, and SOS is Sagarin-based.

Games for the upcoming weekend are bolded.

Note: All teams are included in the Sagarin data, including bowl-ineligible teams.

BCS No. 1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-0) SOS: 30

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 8 Stanford Cardinal (10-2) SOS: 5 — Won 20-13
  • BCS No. 11 Oklahoma Sooners (9-2) SOS: 11 — Won 30-13
  • BCS No. 19 Michigan Wolverines (8-4) SOS: 32 — Won 13-6
  • Sagarin No. 19 USC Trojans (7-5) SOS: 6 — Won 22-13
  • Sagarin No. 36 Michigan State Spartans (6-6) SOS: 29 — Won 20-3
  • Sagarin No. 44 BYU Cougars (7-5) SOS: 57 — Won 17-14
  • Sagarin No. 51 Miami Hurricanes (7-5) SOS: 45 — Won 41-3
  • Sagarin No. 58 Purdue Boilermakers (6-6) SOS: 49 — Won 20-17

Important games remaining:

  • None

BCS No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) SOS: 39

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (10-2) SOS: 27 — Won 21-17
  • BCS No. 9 Texas A&M Aggies (10-2) SOS: 25 — Lost 29-24
  • BCS No. 19 Michigan Wolverines (8-4) SOS: 32 — Won 41-14
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (6-6) SOS: 22 — Won 33-14
  • Sagarin No. 34 Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) SOS: 50 — Won 38-7
  • Sagarin No. 42 Missouri Tigers (5-7) SOS: 2 — Won 42-10
  • Sagarin No. 52 Tennessee Volunteers (5-7) SOS: 28 — Won 44-13

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (11-1) SOS: 42 — Dec. 1

BCS No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (11-1) SOS: 42

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 4 Florida Gators (11-1) SOS: 13 — Won 17-9
  • BCS No. 10 South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2) SOS: 34 — Lost 35-7
  • Sagarin No. 23 Vanderbilt Commodores (8-4) SOS: 40 — Won 48-3
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (6-6) SOS: 22 — Won 37-10
  • Sagarin No. 42 Missouri Tigers (5-7) SOS: 2 — Won 41-20
  • Sagarin No. 52 Tennessee Volunteers (5-7) SOS: 28 — Won 51-44

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) SOS: 39 — Dec. 1

BCS No. 4 Florida Gators (11-1) SOS: 13

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (11-1) SOS: 42 — Lost 17-9
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (10-2) SOS: 27 — Won 14-6
  • BCS No. 9 Texas A&M Aggies (10-2) SOS: 25 — Won 20-17
  • BCS No. 10 South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2) SOS: 34 — Won 44-11
  • BCS No. 13 Florida State Seminoles (10-2) SOS: 72 — Won 37-26
  • Sagarin No. 23 Vanderbilt Commodores (8-4) SOS: 40 — Won 31-17
  • Sagarin No. 42 Missouri Tigers (5-7) SOS: 2 — Won 14-7
  • Sagarin No. 52 Tennessee Volunteers (5-7) SOS: 28 — Won 37-20

Important games remaining:

  • None

BCS No. 5 Oregon Ducks (11-1) SOS: 31

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 8 Stanford Cardinal (10-2) SOS: 5 — Lost 17-14
  • BCS No. 15 Oregon State Beavers (8-3) SOS: 3 — Won 48-24
  • Sagarin No. 19 USC Trojans (7-5) SOS: 6 — Won 62-51
  • Sagarin No. 20 Arizona Wildcats (7-5) SOS: 8 — Won 49-0
  • BCS No. 25 Washington Huskies (7-5) SOS: 16 — Won 52-21
  • Sagarin No. 32 Arizona State Sun Devils (7-5) SOS: 35 — Won 43-21
  • Sagarin No. 45 Frenso State Bulldogs (9-3) SOS: 103 — Won 42-25

Important games remaining:

  • None

BCS No. 6 Kansas State Wildcats (10-1) SOS: 24

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 11 Oklahoma Sooners (9-2) SOS: 11 — Won 24-19
  • Sagarin No. 21 West Virginia Mountaineers (6-5) SOS: 12 — Won 55-14
  • BCS No. 23 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4) SOS: 14 — Won 44-30
  • Sagarin No. 27 TCU Horned Frogs (7-4) SOS: 19 — Won 23-10
  • Sagarin No. 30 Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5) SOS: 23 — Won 55-24
  • Sagarin No. 31 Baylor Bears (6-5) SOS: 7 — Lost 52-24
  • Sagarin No. 35 Iowa State Cyclones (6-6) SOS: 9 — Won 27-21

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 18 Texas Longhorns (8-3) SOS: 20 — Dec. 1

And for a bonus:

BCS No. 17 Kent State Golden Flashes (11-1) SOS: 122

Important games already played:

  • Sagarin No. 41 Rutgers Scarlet Knights (9-2) SOS: 92 — Won 35-23
  • Sagarin No. 43 Ball State Cardinals (9-3) SOS: 78 — Won 45-43

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 21 Northern Illinois Huskies (11-1) SOS: 129 — Nov. 30

BCS No. 20 Boise State Broncos (9-2) SOS: 113

Important games already played:

  • Sagarin No. 36 Michigan State Spartans (6-6) SOS: 29 — Lost 17-13
  • Sagarin No. 44 BYU Cougars (7-5) SOS: 57 — Won 7-6
  • Sagarin No. 45 Frenso State Bulldogs (9-3) SOS: 103 — Won 20-10
  • Sagarin No. 53 San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) SOS: 101 — Lost 21-19

Important games remaining:

  • None

BCS No. 21 Northern Illinois Huskies (11-1) SOS: 129

Important games already played:

  • Sagarin No. 43 Ball State Cardinals (9-3) SOS: 78 — Won 35-23
  • Sagarin No. 49 Toledo Rockets (9-3) SOS: 104 — Won 31-24

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 17 Kent State Golden Flashes (11-1) SOS: 122 — Nov. 30
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Seventh BCS Rankings of 2012: BCS Busters Make The Story While Notre Dame Holds No. 1 Into Season’s Final Weekend

With the drama seemingly run dry in the previous two weeks, the next to last BCS rankings of the season holds few surprises — but there’s plenty to be found if you look close enough.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Georgia Bulldogs
4 Florida Gators
5 Oregon Ducks
Scroll down for more

That simple equation we’ve been talking about — Notre Dame and the SEC champion for the BCS title game — is all but written in stone. With Notre Dame’s season-ending victory over USC, the Fighting Irish land at No. 1 in this week’s BCS rankings, and will land there again next weekend.

No. 2 Alabama and No. 3 Georgia will play in a de facto national semifinal game in the SEC Championship. Florida lands in the No. 4 spot just behind Georgia. But fret not Bulldog and Crimson Tide faithful, win the SEC and you’re in — much like it’s been these last few years.

Further down, No. 5 Oregon and No. 6 Kansas State lead a group of small changes in the BCS’s top 10 this weekend, as what was expected after a rivalry weekend full of ranked matchups whittled the field down.

So pretty bland at the top. But little further down the intrigue for yet another non-AQ BCS buster bid is in store.

Three teams — No. 17 Kent State, No. 20 Boise State and No. 21 Northern Illinois — are all within striking distance of the top 16. A spot inside the BCS’s top 16 will mean an automatic bid to a BCS this year, as the Big East’s champion will land outside the top 16, activating a clause in the BCS to include a deserving non-AQ team in the BCS process.

Although none of the three are in the mix this weekend, Northern Illinois and Kent State are set to battle for the MAC title next weekend, the winner hoping to get associated BCS bump with a win over another ranked team. A Kent State win might give the Golden Flashes just enough to claim that elusive BCS bid. Northern Illinois will need some help if they are victorious.

Boise State is doomed by its poor computer showing, and will likely not be able to crack the top 16.

Next weekend could also solidify most, if not all, of the BCS spots. Here is what’s in store:

  • The ACC Championship Game will feature Florida State and Georgia Tech. The winner is headed for the Orange Bowl.
  • The Big East will be decided Thursday when Louisville and Rutgers face off. The winner is guaranteed a BCS bowl bid.
  • The Big Ten Championship Game will feature Nebraska and Wisconsin. The winner is headed for the Rose Bowl.
  • The Big 12 will come down to Kansas State and Oklahoma. A Kansas State win over Texas gives the Wildcats the conference championship and a Fiesta Bowl bid. It also likely another Oklahoma win gives the Sooners at least an at-large spot. An Oklahoma win combined with a Kansas State loss gives Oklahoma a Fiesta Bowl bid with the conference title.
  • The Pac-12 Championship Game will feature Stanford and UCLA. The winner is headed for the Rose Bowl.
  • The SEC Championship Game will feature Georgia and Alabama. The winner is likely headed for the BCS title game. If Alabama wins, Florida is all but guaranteed a Sugar Bowl bid. If Georgia wins, either Alabama or Florida is likely Sugar Bowl bound.
  • The MAC Championship game will feature Northern Illinois and Kent State. The winner could vie for a BCS bid, needing to finish in the top 16 to make a BCS bowl.
  • As it stands, explore our projected BCS bowls. 
It all comes down to this final weekend. Though we can be pretty sure about a lot, there’s almost nothing guaranteed other than Notre Dame’s bid in the title game. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout this final week for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the seventh BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Seven — November 25th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .9979
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .9236
3 Georgia Bulldogs .8911
4 Florida Gators .8882
5 Oregon Ducks .8626
6 Kansas State Wildcats .7735
7 LSU Tigers .7357
8 Stanford Cardinal .7299
9 Texas A&M Aggies .6861
10 Florida State Seminoles .6689
11 Oklahoma Sooners .6129
12 Nebraska Cornhuskers .5393
13 Florida State Seminoles .4645
14 Clemson Tigers .4570
15 Oregon State Beavers .3790
16 UCLA Bruins .3304

Some thoughts:

BCS implications and strength of schedule worksheet for Week 13

 

With a tendency to surprise in November, the BCS has certainly dealt its fair share of drama in the last few seasons. You can never really tell what a team can do week to week.

But what you can tell is what each team has accomplished to any given point in the season. With just two weekends left in this year’s chase for a chance to play for the BCS title, we probably have a good idea of what teams have achieved the most. But that certainly doesn’t exclude anything from happening the next two weeks.

So explore the top six teams — the four in easy striking distance of the title game and two in need of serious help — and see what we know about them.

We’ll be compiling our implications and schedule strength worksheet every week the rest of the season. We’ll use the BCS rankings and Jeff Sagarin’s computer ranking to compile a look at what the nation’s best teams have accomplished, where they’re headed and the potential pitfalls and dangers associated with their upcoming schedule.

What will you find here? The top eight BCS teams (or smaller, if the “striking distance” shrinks), along with their record and strength of schedule, according to Sagarin.

Each team is also listed with key games already played, and key games to come. Key games are any against the BCS top 25 or the Sagarin top 60. If teams are unlisted in the BCS, they are listed with their Sagarin rank, and SOS is Sagarin-based.

Games for the upcoming weekend are bolded.

Note: All teams are included in the Sagarin data, including bowl-ineligible teams.

BCS No. 1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-0) SOS: 33

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 8 Stanford Cardinal  (9-2) SOS: 7 — Won 20-13
  • BCS No. 13 Oklahoma Sooners (8-2) SOS: 14 — Won 30-13
  • BCS No. 19 Michigan Wolverines (8-3) SOS: 21 — Won 13-6
  • Sagarin No. 37 Michigan State Spartans (5-5) SOS: 27 — Won 20-3
  • Sagarin No. 47 BYU Cougars (6-5) SOS: 47 — Won 17-14

Important games remaining:

  • Sagarin No. 20 USC Trojans (7-4) SOS: 13 — Nov. 24

BCS No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) SOS: 30

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (9-2) SOS: 22 — Won 21-17
  • BCS No. 9 Texas A&M Aggies (9-2) SOS: 25 — Lost 29-24
  • BCS No. 19 Michigan Wolverines (8-3) SOS: 21 — Won 41-14
  • Sagarin No. 25 Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-3) SOS: 55 — Won 38-7
  • Sagarin No. 36 Ole Miss Rebels (5-6) SOS: 18 — Won 33-14
  • Sagarin No. 43 Missouri Tigers (5-6) SOS: 9 — Won 42-10
  • Sagarin No. 54 Tennessee Volunteers (4-7) SOS: 17 — Won 44-13
  • Sagarin No. 57 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-7) SOS: 23 — Won 52-0

Important games remaining:

  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (10-1) SOS: 46

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 4 Florida Gators (10-1) SOS: 19 — Won 17-9
  • BCS No. 12 South Carolina Gamecocks (9-2) SOS: 39 — Lost 35-7
  • Sagarin No. 27 Vanderbilt Commodores (7-4) SOS: 32 — Won 48-3
  • Sagarin No. 36 Ole Miss Rebels (5-6) SOS: 18 — Won 37-10
  • Sagarin No. 43 Missouri Tigers (5-6) SOS: 9 — Won 41-20
  • Sagarin No. 54 Tennessee Volunteers (4-7) SOS: 17 — Won 51-44

Important games remaining:

  • SEC Championship Game

BCS No. 4 Florida Gators (10-1) SOS: 19

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (10-1) SOS: 46 — Lost 17-9
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (9-2) SOS: 22 — Won 14-6
  • BCS No. 9 Texas A&M Aggies (9-2) SOS: 25 — Won 20-17
  • BCS No. 12 South Carolina Gamecocks (9-2) SOS: 39 — Won 44-11
  • Sagarin No. 27 Vanderbilt Commodores (7-4) SOS: 32 — Won 31-17
  • Sagarin No. 43 Missouri Tigers (5-6) SOS: 9 — Won 14-7
  • Sagarin No. 54 Tennessee Volunteers (4-7) SOS: 17 — Won 37-20

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 10 Florida State Seminoles (9-1) SOS: 90 — Nov. 24

BCS No. 5 Oregon Ducks (10-1) SOS: 36

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 8 Stanford Cardinal  (9-2) SOS: 7 — Lost 17-14
  • Sagarin No. 20 USC Trojans (7-4) SOS: 13 — Won 62-51
  • BCS No. 24 Arizona Wildcats (7-4) SOS: 3 — Won 49-0
  • BCS No. 25 Washington Huskies (7-4) SOS: 5 — Won 52-21
  • Sagarin No. 42 Arizona State Sun Devils (6-5) SOS: 42 — Won 43-21

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 15 Oregon State Beavers (8-2) SOS: 4 — Nov. 24
  • Pac-12 Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 6 Kansas State Wildcats (10-1) SOS: 27

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 13 Oklahoma Sooners (8-2) SOS: 14 — Won 24-19
  • BCS No. 21 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-3) SOS: 21 — Won 44-30
  • Sagarin No. 22 Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-4) SOS: 28 — Won 55-24
  • Sagarin No. 29 West Virginia Mountaineers (5-5) SOS: 12 — Won 55-14
  • Sagarin No. 31 Iowa State Cyclones (6-5) SOS: 6 — Won 27-21
  • Sagarin No. 35 TCU Horned Frogs (6-4) SOS: 29 — Won 23-10
  • Sagarin No. 39 Baylor Bears (5-5) SOS: 11 — Lost 52-24

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 15 Texas Longhorns (8-2) SOS: 23 — Dec. 1

Sixth BCS Rankings of 2012: No. 1 Notre Dame, No. 2 Alabama Ride High As Season Chaotically Winds Down

Let it never be said the BCS didn’t give us drama.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Georgia Bulldogs
4 Florida Gators
5 Oregon Ducks
Scroll down for more

With a clear-cut, simple equation for the BCS title game seemingly resting on the table just a weekend ago, the events of late Saturday night threw the BCS back into chaos, and now promises us yet another drama-filled final two weekends of college football.

Losses by Kansas State and Oregon open the BCS up again and Notre Dame proves the one to take advantage, as the Irish claim their first-ever BCS No. 1 ranking in the sixth iteration of the rankings in 2012.

Alabama, thought to be out of the running just a week ago, is now squarely back in the title picture at No. 2, needing just to win out to get back to the title game again. In order to win out, however, the once-beaten Tide will have to contend with No. 3 Georgia, which claimed that spot in both polls Sunday afternoon.

Georgia’s spot outside the top two is a moot point if the Bulldogs can win next weekend and then beat the Crimson Tide. Georgia will be BCS title game bound if they beat No. 2 Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.

The SEC rounds out the top four with Florida, boosted by a strong computer ranking to No. 4. Florida is still hoping for some upset ahead of them, but have set themselves up nicely for a BCS bowl bid, either by virtue of their single loss or by the BCS selection process that would select the Gators for a BCS bowl if they finish as No. 3 and the SEC champion plays for the BCS title.

Now-once-beaten Oregon and Kansas State land at No. 5 and No. 6 respectively, with Oregon hampered by an already poor computer aggregate before their first loss and Kansas State bolstered by computer support that didn’t waver much despite a tough loss to Baylor.

The SEC is back at it again at No. 7, as LSU grabs the distinction as highest-ranked two-loss team in the nation. Just behind the Tigers sit the newly top-10 Stanford Cardinal. Stanford lands firmly inside the top 10 after a victory over Oregon this weekend.

Texas A&M restarts the SEC conga line at No. 9, with No. 12 South Carolina rounding out the unprecedented presence of the SEC in the BCS top 12.

Florida State still languishes at No. 10 despite huge support on the poll side, with Clemson equally getting hammered by  the computers.

So. Two weeks sure to be drama-filled and heart breaking for some remain. We’re far from done with the BCS, the season or the various implications that will be in store for the weekends to come. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout these final few weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the sixth BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Six — November 18th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .9973
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .9333
3 Georgia Bulldogs .8763
4 Florida Gators .8434
5 Oregon Ducks .8318
6 Kansas State Wildcats .7692
7 LSU Tigers .7308
8 Stanford Cardinal .7077
9 Texas A&M Aggies .6526
10 Florida State Seminoles .6363
11 Clemson Tigers .6056
12 South Carolina Gamecocks .5871
13 Oklahoma Sooners .5677
14 Nebraska Cornhuskers .4790
15 Oregon State Beavers .4499
16 Texas Longhorns .4235

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Some good, some bad. Top four, which are the important ones, were good. A mixed bag moving down. The real thing to key on is Florida State’s continued lag. It’s real and it’s here to stay unless the Seminoles can top the Gators.

BCS implications and strength of schedule worksheet for Week 12

When favorites fall, like Alabama did to Texas A&M last weekend, storylines emerge. This time, it was the potential end of the SEC’s run of dominance, the tough conference schedule every SEC team must face and the potential for the Tide to climb back into the title picture.

But sometimes it’s the secondary storylines after an upset, which truly shape the title picture. This week, for instance, you can look to BCS No. 3 Notre Dame, with its all but maxed out computer score of .990, trailing Kansas State and Oregon in the BCS standings.

The climb for the Irish is daunting, and they will need a loss ahead of them. But it’s important to understand how we got here. Why is the pollsters’ No. 3 team the best in the computers? And where do Kansas State and Oregon fall short? Plus, where can that ground be made up?

That’s why we compile this worksheet. To answer these questions.

We’ll be compiling our implications and schedule strength worksheet every week the rest of the season. We’ll use the BCS rankings and Jeff Sagarin’s computer ranking to compile a look at what the nation’s best teams have accomplished, where they’re headed and the potential pitfalls and dangers associated with their upcoming schedule.

What will you find here? The top eight BCS teams (or smaller, if the “striking distance” shrinks), along with their record and strength of schedule, according to Sagarin.

Each team is also listed with key games already played, and key games to come. Key games are any against the BCS top 25 or the Sagarin top 60. If teams are unlisted in the BCS, they are listed with their Sagarin rank, and SOS is Sagarin-based.

Games for the upcoming weekend are bolded.

Note: All teams are included in the Sagarin data, including bowl-ineligible teams.

BCS No. 1 Kansas State Wildcats (10-0) SOS: 29

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (7-2) SOS: 15 — Won 24-19
  • BCS No. 23 Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-3) SOS: 36 — Won 55-24
  • BCS No. 24 Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-3) SOS: 26 — Won 44-30
  • Sagarin No. 26 Iowa State Cyclones (5-5) SOS: 4 — Won 27-21
  • Sagarin No. 27 West Virginia Mountaineers (5-4) SOS: 19 — Won 55-14
  • Sagarin No. 28 TCU Horned Frogs (6-4) SOS: 25 — Won 23-10

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 15 Texas Longhorns (8-2) SOS: 23 — Dec. 1
  • Sagarin No. 47 Baylor Bears (4-5) SOS: 17 — Nov. 17

BCS No. 2 Oregon Ducks (10-0) SOS: 45

Important games already played:

  • Sagarin No. 18 Arizona Wildcats (6-4) SOS: 10 — Won 49-0
  • BCS No. 18 USC Trojans (7-3) SOS: 20 — Won 62-51
  • BCS No. 25 Washington Huskies (6-4) SOS: 2 — Won 52-21
  • Sagarin No. 36 Arizona State Sun Devils (5-5) SOS: 22 — Won 43-21

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 13 Stanford Cardinal  (8-2) SOS: 24 — Nov. 17
  • BCS No. 16 Oregon State Beavers (7-2) SOS: 3 — Nov. 24
  • Pac-12 Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-0) SOS: 28

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (7-2) SOS: 15 — Won 30-13
  • BCS No. 13 Stanford Cardinal  (8-2) SOS: 24 — Won 20-13
  • BCS No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (7-3) SOS: 37 — Won 13-6
  • Sagarin No. 37 Michigan State Spartans (5-5) SOS: 27 — Won 20-3
  • Sagarin No. 51 BYU Cougars (6-4) SOS: 51 — Won 17-14

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 18 USC Trojans (7-3) SOS: 20 — Nov. 24

BCS No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1) SOS: 14

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21 — Won 21-17
  • BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13 — Lost 29-24
  • BCS No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (7-3) SOS: 37 — Won 41-14
  • Sagarin No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 52 — Won 38-7
  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Won 42-10
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Won 33-14
  • Sagarin No. 43 Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) SOS: 18 — Won 44-13
  • Sagarin No. 58 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-6) SOS: 31 — Won 52-0

Important games remaining:

  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (9-1) SOS: 40

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7 — Won 17-9
  • BCS No. 9 South Carolina Gamecocks (8-2) SOS: 30 — Lost 35-7
  • Sagarin No. 23 Vanderbilt Commodores (6-4) SOS: 34 — Won 48-3
  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Won 41-20
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Won 37-10
  • Sagarin No. 43 Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) SOS: 18 — Won 51-44

Important games remaining:

  • SEC Championship Game

BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (9-1) SOS: 40 — Lost 17-9
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21 — Won 14-6
  • BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13 — Won 20-17
  • BCS No. 9 South Carolina Gamecocks (8-2) SOS: 30 — Won 44-11
  • Sagarin No. 23 Vanderbilt Commodores (6-4) SOS: 34 — Won 31-17
  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Won 14-7
  • Sagarin No. 43 Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) SOS: 18 — Won 37-20

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 10 Florida State Seminoles (9-1) SOS: 90 — Nov. 24

BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1) SOS: 14 — Lost 21-17
  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7 — Lost 14-6
  • BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13 — Won 24-19
  • BCS No. 9 South Carolina Gamecocks (8-2) SOS: 30 — Won 23-21
  • Sagarin No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 52 — Won 37-17
  • BCS No. 25 Washington Huskies (6-4) SOS: 2 — Won 41-3

Important games remaining:

  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Nov. 17
  • Sagarin No. 58 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-6) SOS: 31 — Nov. 23
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1) SOS: 14 — Won 29-24
  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7 — Lost 20-17
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21 — Lost 24-19
  • BCS No. 20 Louisiana Tech (9-1) SOS: 129 — Won 59-57
  • Sagarin No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 52 — Won 38-13
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Won 30-27
  • Sagarin No. 58 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-6) SOS: 31 — Won 58-10

Important games remaining:

  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Nov. 24
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

Fifth BCS Rankings of 2012: Kansas State Replaces Alabama As No. 1 With Oregon At No. 2

The streak is officially on life support. For the first time in seven years, we could have a team from outside the SEC win the BCS national championship game. That’s the result of a weekend that set the BCS standings on shuffle with just three sets of these remaining.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Kansas State Wildcats
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4 Alabama Crimson Tide
5 Georgia Bulldogs
Scroll down for more

The Big 12’s Kansas State claims the top spot in the fifth BCS rankings of the 2012 season, followed by No. 2 Oregon and No. 3 Notre Dame.

Support as the No. 1 team in both polls is not enough to bring Oregon the coveted No. 1 spot, as despite being ranked No. 2 in both the Coaches’ and Harris polls, Kansas State uses a near-perfect computer score to claim the top spot.

Notre Dame too grabs strong computer support, but can’t overcoming the difference between themselves and Oregon to grab the No. 2 slot. The Fighting Irish are definitively on the outside looking in on the title picture, and will need either the Wildcats or Ducks to drop a game in the coming weeks to get a chance at the national title.

It’s not until No. 4 Alabama, fallen from its perch after a crushing loss to Texas A&M, that we see the SEC’s footprint. And though Alabama’s appearance foretells an unprecedented group that follows — six squads from the conference occupying the spots from No. 4 to No. 9 — a bigger-picture reality is now clear.

Without some real help, the SEC could be locked out of the title game, that much is clear. The unbeatens ahead of Alabama and its SEC compatriots have too strong of a foothold with just three weekends left in the year. A conference that battle tested its champions week-in and week-out while seemingly able to produce one emergent team from a heap might have beaten up on itself a little too much in 2012.

But as we learned this weekend, you can take nothing for granted, and nothing is for certain. We’re far from done with the BCS, the season or the various implications that will be in store for the weekends to come. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout these final few weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the fifth BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Five — November 11th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Kansas State Wildcats .9674
2 Oregon Ducks .9497
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .9396
4 Alabama Crimson Tide .8534
5 Georgia Bulldogs .8328
6 Florida Gators .7955
7 LSU Tigers .7331
8 Texas A&M Aggies .6621
9 South Carolina Gamecocks .6349
10 Florida State Seminoles .6071
11 Clemson Tigers .5921
12 Oklahoma Sooners .5797
13  Stanford Cardinal .5705
14 Nebraska Cornhuskers .4679
15 Texas Longhorns .4259
16 Oregon State Beavers .4161

Some thoughts:

BCS implications and strength of schedule worksheet for Week 11

Just look what one opponent can do. Alabama, languishing somewhat surprisingly behind Notre Dame and Kansas State in the computer polls for weeks, beats LSU and suddenly claims the nation’s top spot in the BCS computers.

That’s just one example of the impact of your schedule strength and what you’ve accomplished on the BCS. With the season winding down, you have to dig deeper. Not only is it important who you beat, but who your opponents beat later on. Opponents’ opponents’ opponents begin to matter.

So look closely at the remaining schedule and see if you can find the patterns and hints as we lead up to the season’s final weeks.

We’ll be compiling our implications and schedule strength worksheet every week the rest of the season. We’ll use the BCS rankings and Jeff Sagarin’s computer ranking to compile a look at what the nation’s best teams have accomplished, where they’re headed and the potential pitfalls and dangers associated with their upcoming schedule.

What will you find here? The top eight BCS teams (or smaller, if the “striking distance” shrinks), along with their record and strength of schedule, according to Sagarin.

Each team is also listed with key games already played, and key games to come. Key games are any against the BCS top 25 or the Sagarin top 60. If teams are unlisted in the BCS, they are listed with their Sagarin rank, and SOS is Sagarin-based.

Games for the upcoming weekend are bolded.

Note: All teams are included in the Sagarin data, including bowl-ineligible teams.

BCS No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0) SOS: 17

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (7-2) SOS: 19 — Won 21-17
  • BCS No. 21 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2) SOS: 71 — Won 38-7
  • Sagarin No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (6-3) SOS: 38 — Won 41-14
  • Sagarin No. 29 Missouri Tigers (4-5) SOS: 2 — Won 42-10
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-4) SOS: 31 — Won 33-14
  • Sagarin No. 42 Tennessee Volunteers (4-5) SOS: 14 — Won 44-13
  • Sagarin No. 59 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-5) SOS: 41 — Won 52-0

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies (7-2) SOS: 20 — Nov. 10
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 2 Kansas State Wildcats (9-0) SOS: 33

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (6-2) SOS: 10 — Won 24-19
  • BCS No. 22 Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-3) SOS: 21 — Won 55-24
  • Sagarin No. 22 Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-3) SOS: 24 — Won 44-30
  • Sagarin No. 25 Iowa State Cyclones (5-4) SOS: 7 — Won 27-21
  • Sagarin No. 26 West Virginia Mountaineers (5-3) SOS: 29 — Won 55-14
  • Sagarin No. 52 Miami Hurricanes (5-4) SOS: 30 — Won 52-13

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 17 Texas Longhorns (7-2) SOS: 18 — Dec. 1
  • Sagarin No. 34 TCU Horned Frogs (6-3) SOS: 37 — Nov. 10
  • Sagarin No. 50 Baylor Bears (4-4) SOS: 27 — Nov. 17

BCS No. 3 Oregon Ducks (9-0) SOS: 47

Important games already played:

  • Sagarin No. 17 Arizona Wildcats (5-4) SOS: 3 — Won 49-0
  • Sagarin No. 18 Washington Huskies (5-4) SOS: 1 — Won 52-21
  • BCS No. 19 USC Trojans (6-3) SOS: 25 — Won 62-51
  • Sagarin No. 36 Arizona State Sun Devils (5-4) SOS: 38 — Won 43-21

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 11 Oregon State Beavers (7-1) SOS: 5 — Nov. 24
  • BCS No. 14 Stanford Cardinal  (7-2) SOS: 36 — Nov. 17
  • Pac-12 Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-0) SOS: 16

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (6-2) SOS: 10 — Won 30-13
  • BCS No. 14 Stanford Cardinal  (7-2) SOS: 36 — Won 20-13
  • Sagarin No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (6-3) SOS: 38 — Won 13-6
  • Sagarin No. 37 Michigan State Spartans (5-5) SOS: 23 — Won 20-3
  • Sagarin No. 47 Navy Midshipmen (6-3) SOS: 47 — Won 50-10
  • Sagarin No. 52 Miami Hurricanes (5-4) SOS: 30 — Won 41-3
  • Sagarin No. 56 BYU Cougars (5-4) SOS: 35 — Won 17-14

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 19 USC Trojans (6-3) SOS: 25 — Nov. 24

BCS No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (8-1) SOS: 31

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (8-1) SOS: 6 — Won 17-9
  • BCS No. 8 South Carolina Gamecocks (7-2) SOS: 22 — Lost 35-7
  • Sagarin No. 27 Vanderbilt Commodores (5-4) SOS: 40 — Won 48-3
  • Sagarin No. 29 Missouri Tigers (4-5) SOS: 2 — Won 41-20
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-4) SOS: 31 — Won 37-10
  • Sagarin No. 42 Tennessee Volunteers (4-5) SOS: 14 — Won 51-44

Important games remaining:

  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (8-1) SOS: 6

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (8-1) SOS: 31 — Lost 17-9
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (7-2) SOS: 19 — Won 14-6
  • BCS No. 8 South Carolina Gamecocks (7-2) SOS: 22 — Won 44-11
  • BCS No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies (7-2) SOS: 20 — Won 20-17
  • Sagarin No. 27 Vanderbilt Commodores (5-4) SOS: 40 — Won 31-17
  • Sagarin No. 29 Missouri Tigers (4-5) SOS: 2 — Won 14-7
  • Sagarin No. 42 Tennessee Volunteers (4-5) SOS: 14 — Won 37-20

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 10 Florida State Seminoles (8-1) SOS: 108 — Nov. 24
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (7-2) SOS: 19

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-0) SOS: 17 — Lost 21-17
  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (8-1) SOS: 6 — Lost 14-6
  • BCS No. 8 South Carolina Gamecocks (7-2) SOS: 22 — Won 23-21
  • BCS No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies (7-2) SOS: 20 — Won 24-19
  • Sagarin No. 18 Washington Huskies (5-4) SOS: 1 — Won 41-3

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 21 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2) SOS: 71 — Nov. 10
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-4) SOS: 31 — Nov. 17
  • Sagarin No. 59 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-5) SOS: 41 — Nov. 23
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 8 South Carolina Gamecocks (7-2) SOS: 22

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (8-1) SOS: 31 — Won 35-7
  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (8-1) SOS: 6 — Lost 44-11
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (7-2) SOS: 19 — Lost 23-21
  • Sagarin No. 27 Vanderbilt Commodores (5-4) SOS: 40 — Won 17-13
  • Sagarin No. 29 Missouri Tigers (4-5) SOS: 2 — Won 31-10
  • Sagarin No. 42 Tennessee Volunteers (4-5) SOS: 14 — Won 38-35

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 13 Clemson Tigers (7-1) SOS: 89 — Nov. 24
  • Sagarin No. 59 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-5) SOS: 41 — Nov. 10
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential