2013 BCS AQ Conference Profiles: Big 12

BCS Know How is taking you through the six automatic-qualifying BCS conferences in preparation for the 2013 season. Our easy-to-digest previews continue with the Big 12. Scroll down to see our profiles of the other conferences.

Conference: Big 12 Conference (Big 12)

Active Since: 1996

Current Member Schools: Iowa State Cyclones, Kansas State Wildcats, Kansas Jayhawks, West Virginia Mountaineers, Baylor Bears, Oklahoma State Cowboys, TCU Horned Frogs, Texas Tech Red Raiders, Oklahoma Sooners, Texas Longhorns. (10)

2013 Bowl Affiliations and Tie-Ins: Fiesta Bowl (BCS), Texas Bowl, Pinstripe Bowl, Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Holiday Bowl, Cotton Bowl (7)

2012 Results:
Conference Champion — Kansas State
Conference Runner-up — Oklahoma Sooners
BCS Bowl Results: 2013 Fiesta Bowl — Oregon 35 vs. Kansas State 17
Overall Bowl Record: 4-5

2013 Heisman Hopefuls: Baylor RB Lache Seastrunk, Oklahoma QB Blake Bell

BCS Know How’s 2013 Predictions:
Conference Champion — Oklahoma State Cowboys
Conference Runner-up — TCU Horned Frogs
BCS bids: Oklahoma State — Fiesta Bowl; TCU — Sugar Bowl
Heisman Finalists — None

Post-Season BCS Rankings Simulation: Alabama A Non-Unanimous Choice For No. 1

Alabama claimed the BCS national title, but was not a unanimous choice among the components of BCS system and the AP poll.

To see just how the bevy of season’s end rankings played out, we’ve set out to simulate a set of BCS rankings, using the AP poll in place of the Harris poll. What we get is a good aggregate of all of the final rankings, and the equivalent of a year-end, final BCS rankings.

We also used the six BCS computers, not all of which declared Alabama as the top team in the nation. In fact, both Oklahoma State and LSU claimed the top spot in one computer ranking.

Mostly, this is just for fun, a good look at what the BCS standings would look like if they were released after the end of the season. The formula is exactly the same as the BCS utilizes during the regular season, except the AP poll is subbed in for the Harris Interactive Poll, which does not release a post-season edition.

Unsurprisingly, Alabama leads the way, despite its non-unanimous support. LSU and Oklahoma State finish in their expected No. 2 and No. 3 spots, respectively.

Arkansas and Oregon see the completion of strong regular seasons and impressive bowl victories to both finish in the top five.

A little further down, we get a surprising sixth-place finish from South Carolina, who are chased closely by Boise State, where the Broncos finish just .0003 behind the Gamecocks. For fun, we placed USC in the mix, as they are named in all six computers and in the AP. We just replicated the portion the No. 9 Trojans got in the AP for the Coaches’ and used the computers as per usual.

Other surprises include No. 10 Baylor, who completes a fantastic season led by Heisman-winning quarterback Robert Griffin III and the non-AQ No. 16 Houston and No. 17 TCU, both of which had shots at BCS bowl bids but were shut out on the last weekend — a Houston loss and TCU finishing outside of the top-16.

Here’s BCS Know How’s simulated post-season BCS rankings:

Simulated Post-Season BCS Rankings

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .9922
2 LSU Tigers .9540
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys .9298
4 Oregon Ducks .8260
5 Arkansas Razorbacks .8214
6 South Carolina Gamecocks .7267
7 Boise State Broncos .7264
8 Stanford Cardinal .7193
9 USC Trojans .6981
10 Baylor Bears .5718
11 Michigan Wolverines .5688
12 Wisconsin Badgers .5337
13 Oklahoma Sooners .5250
14 Michigan State Spartans .5234
15 Kansas State Wildcats .5040
16 Houston Cougars .4305
17 TCU Horned Frogs .4156
18 West Virginia Mountaineers .3068
19 Georgia Bulldogs .2689
20 Virginia Tech Hokies .2483

Final 2011 BlogPoll Ballot: Alabama At The Top

Oklahoma State Captures Thrilling 41-38 Victory Over Stanford in Fiesta Bowl

A Fiesta Bowl littered with NFL prospects on both ends was turned in Oklahoma State’s favor late Monday night by a combination of Stanford’s missed field goals and gritty play by its 28-year-old senior quarterback and star wide receiver as the Cowboys topped Stanford 41-38.

A field goal by Oklahoma State kicker Quinn Sharp in the first overtime period clinched victory for the Cowboys after Stanford kicker Jordan Williamson missed two straight opportunities to add three points, the first of which would have given the Cardinal a victory.

A catch from Cowboy wide receiver Colton Chelf set Sharp up for the game-winning kick after Stanford failed to score on its first possession in overtime. It was not until Sharp nailed the kick to win the game that the Cowboys led the 2012 Fiesta Bowl, as Stanford moved the ball up and down the field for 590 total yards.

Andrew Luck, the assumed first overall pick in the upcoming NFL draft, led the way for the Cardinal and finished the night with more than 300 yards passing and two touchdowns. Oklahoma State wide receiver Justin Blackmon, the Cowboys’ superstar draft prospect, was electric on the night, finishing with 186 yards receiving and three touchdowns.

Just the third overtime game in Fiesta Bowl history was an exciting one, as both offenses were obviously ready to go. Oklahoma State certainly had reason to be disappointed with its place in the Fiesta Bowl, but came out firing despite facing an early 14-0 deficit and matched the Cardinal score for score from there.

BCS Computer Rankings Week Eight: Alabama Gets Just Enough

With the knowledge that Oklahoma State was set to make up ground in the computers after a victory over Oklahoma, Alabama faithful had to hope the damage wasn’t too severe. And it wasn’t.

The Crimson Tide retained a .930 computer share, which was integral to them retaining the No. 2 spot in the final BCS standings.

Oklahoma State’s .950 proved to just not be enough.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Eight (December 4)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
2 Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Alabama Alabama
3 Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St.
4 Stanford Stanford Kansas St. Kansas St. Arkansas Arkansas
5 Kansas St. Oregon Stanford Arkansas Kansas St. Kansas St.
6 Oklahoma Boise St. Boise St. Baylor Oklahoma Oregon

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Eight (December 4)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 1.000
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys .950
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .930
4 Kansas State Wildcats .850
5 Arkansas Razorbacks .800
5 Stanford Cardinal .800
7 Oklahoma Sooners .760
8 Oregon Ducks .710
9 Boise State Broncos .680
10 South Carolina Gamecocks .670
11 Baylor Bears .660
12 Georgia Bulldogs .490

Harris Interactive Poll Week 14: Alabama Stays Far Enough Ahead of Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State rises to No. 3, but its not enough to leap Alabama here or in the BCS standings.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – December 4

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 2875 1.000
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 2723 .947
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys 2654 .923
4 Stanford Cardinal 2504 .871
5 Oregon Ducks 2372 .825
6 Boise State Broncos 2236 .778
7 Arkansas Razorbacks 2163 .752
8 Wisconsin Badgers 2060 .717
9 South Carolina Gamecocks 1833 .638
10 Kansas State Wildcats 1733 .603
11 Virginia Tech Hokies 1498 .521
12 Michigan Wolverines 1447 .503

Final BCS Rankings of 2011: LSU and Alabama Finish an SEC-Dominated Season On Top

The rematch is on.

With the release of the final BCS standings, the Bowl Championship Series has spoken, and we’re headed for the first-ever rematch of a regular season game in the BCS title game.

LSU and Alabama did enough in the eyes of the voters and the computers to do just that, and come Jan. 9, the entire country will be tuned in to see whether LSU’s defense can once again stifle Alabama or if the Crimson Tide can turn the tide on the Tigers.

Oklahoma State lands on the outside looking in, instead headed off to the Fiesta Bowl to take on a very game Stanford team, who finishes in the No. 3 slot.

No. 5 Oregon, boosted on the power of huge leaps in human poll support, is on its way to the Rose Bowl to take on No. 10 Wisconsin, whose Big Ten title game victory over Michigan State brought the Badgers back into the top 10 and ensured one of the best looking matchups among the BCS bowls, at least on paper.

The four teams that follow Oregon were all left out of the BCS picture, as Arkansas, Boise State, Kansas State and South Carolina will have to settle for non-BCS bowls after commendable seasons in three tough conferences.

A surprise berth for No. 11 Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl certainly ruffled some feathers, but the Hokies had an impressive season, and will face off against No. 13 Michigan in New Orleans on Jan. 2.

All in all, the BCS standings once again brought about debate, consternation and excitement until the end. Whether you agree with the decisions the system made, it’s what we’ve got, and we’re not headed for a slate of 35 bowl games — some duds and some spectacular matchups — that will certainly provide for entertainment value throughout December and January. Enjoy.

Here’s the final BCS rankings of 2011:

BCS Standings Week Eight — December 4

Rank Team BCS Score
1 LSU Tigers 1.000
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .9419
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys .9333
4 Stanford Cardinal .8476
5 Oregon Ducks .7901
6 Arkansas Razorbacks .7687
7 Boise State Broncos .7408
8 Kansas State Wildcats .6827
9 South Carolina Gamecocks .6553
10 Wisconsin Badgers .6374
11 Virginia Tech Hokies .5190
12 Baylor Bears .4977
13 Michigan Wolverines .4794
14 Oklahoma Sooners .4603
15 Clemson Tigers .4218
16 Georgia Bulldogs .4119

Some thoughts:

2012 BCS Bowl Matchups

The 2012 BCS bowl matchups have been announced, with the rematch of the century, Alabama-LSU highlighting the slate in the BCS national championship game.

The BCS will begin with the Rose Bowl, this year held on Jan. 2, followed by the Sugar Bowl that night.

The Orange Bowl and Fiesta Bowl will played on Jan. 4 and Jan. 5 respectively, with the title game not coming our way until Jan. 9.

Represented are the champions of all six BCS conferences, teams that missed the Pac-12, SEC and Big Ten conference championship games, and the ACC’s runner up.

2012 BCS Schedule

Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif.

January 2, 2012 5 p.m. EST

Wisconsin Badgers


Oregon Ducks

Comment: The champions of the Big Ten and Pac-12, coming off victories in each conference’s first-ever conference championship game, will face off in the single BCS bowl with the most history. And the Oregon-Wisconsin meeting might just have the most intrigue and interest among the five BCS bowls, too. Offense runs both teams’ attacks with weapons like Oregon stable of athletes (Darron Thomas, LaMichael James, De’Anthony Thomas among many others) and the Badgers’ two-headed monster in Monte Ball and Russell Wilson.

Sugar Bowl in New Orleans, La.

January 3, 2012 8:30 p.m. EST


Michigan Wolverines


Virginia Tech Hokies

Comment: Somewhat surprise bids for both Michigan and Virginia Tech will give this Sugar Bowl a distinctively un-Sugar Bowl like feel, as no SEC team was available for the bowl to take to replace a lost team to the title game as they have in years past. Of course, the player in this game that everyone knows is Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson, but Virginia Tech comes ready with a strong offensive attack and of course a Frank Beamer coached defense and special teams. Should be a good one in the bayou as they ready for the title game a week later.

Orange Bowl in Miami, Fla.

January 4, 2012 8:30 p.m. EST


Clemson Tigers


West Virginia Mountaineers

Comment: The champions of the Big East and ACC meet in the Orange Bowl yet again, this time pitting West Virginia against a revitalized Clemson squad. West Virginia was the beneficiary of a three-way tiebreaker in the Big East. The Mountaineers shared the regular season crown with Louisville and Cincinnati, but by finishing highest in the final BCS standings, the Mountaineers were assured of the conference’s automatic BCS bid. Clemson topped Virginia Tech in the ACC title game, somewhat of a surprise, and got an automatic bid to the Orange Bowl in the process.

Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Arizona

January 5, 2012 8:30 p.m. EST


Oklahoma State Cowboys


Stanford Cardinal

Comment: Just missing out on the BCS title game leaves Oklahoma State to take the Big 12’s rightful place in the Fiesta Bowl, where the Cowboys will be faced with Stanford and Heisman candidate Andrew Luck in the desert. The Cowboys have a strong duo at the top of their offensive attack as well, as quarterback Brandon Weeden and wide receiver Justin Blackmon are among the best in the nation at their positions. Expect nothing less than a shootout.

BCS National Championship Game in New Orleans, La.

January 9, 2012 8:30 p.m. EST

LSU Tigers


Alabama Crimson Tide

Comment: The matchup everyone wanted to see has turned into the rematch that most of the country clamored for. A 9-6 victory for LSU over Alabama earlier this season was obviously not enough for many of the voters, and we’ll get another chance to see the best two teams in the country go at it again. Both have world-class defenses and feature some great offensive weapons, such as Alabama running back Trent Richardson and LSU quarterback Jordan Jefferson. Could we be in for another low scoring affair? Or will the offenses break out this time?

Oklahoma State and Alabama BCS Title Game Scenarios

Welcome to the oddest day in college football. Selection Sunday, where 70 teams are placed in 35 bowls, but all everyone cares about is one ultimate matchup, the BCS National Championship Game.

A season of debate and consternation has led us here, to a final day racked with tension as we await the release of the BCS standings and ponder one question: Who will be No. 2?

With Sagarin’s ratings released and the Coaches’ Poll available, we can start to work some real numbers into the equation. Let’s start by laying it all on the line.

Last weekend, Alabama and Oklahoma State were No. 2 and No. 3 in the BCS, receiving the following scores from the BCS components:

Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .950 .9586 .9566 .9551
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys .930 .8397 .8441 .8712

Oklahoma State was well behind Alabama in every category, including the elusive computer ranking systems.

Now, a victory over Oklahoma was worth quite a bit to Oklahoma State, and will allow the Cowboys to claim the lead in that component come tonight. But how big will their lead be? The two scenarios play out as such:

I. Oklahoma State could receive a .950 score from the computers if they receive two No. 3 votes from the computers. Alabama would then likely receive a .930. Using the released Coaches’ Poll statistics, the breakdown would be as such:

Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
? Alabama Crimson Tide .930 ??? .9485 ???
? Oklahoma State Cowboys .950 ??? .9268 ???

For Oklahoma State to be No. 2, the following would need to occur:

Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys .950 +.0015 .9268 ???
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .930 Score .9485 ???

The equivalent of five votes — a total vote share of .0015 — would need to separate Oklahoma State from Alabama in the Harris Poll to give Oklahoma State to No. 2 spot. Anything less and Alabama is on its way to the title lgame.

II. Oklahoma State could receive a .960 score from the computers if they receive just one No. 3 vote from the computers. Alabama would then likely receive a .920. Using the released Coaches’ Poll statistics, the breakdown would be as such:

Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
? Alabama Crimson Tide .920 ??? .9485 ???
? Oklahoma State Cowboys .960 ??? .9268 ???

For Oklahoma State to be No. 2, the following would need to occur:

Rank Team Computers Harris Coaches BCS
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys .960 Within .0183 .9268 ???
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .920 Score .9485 ???

The equivalent of 53 points — a total vote share of .0183 — could still be between Alabama and Oklahoma State, and the Cowboys could be No. 2. Anything more and Alabama is on its way to the title game.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week 14: Oklahoma State to No. 3

Oklahoma State receives the third spot. Is it enough?

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – December 4

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 1475 1.000
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 1399 .948
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1367 .927
4 Stanford Cardinal 1286 .872
5 Oregon Ducks 1232 .835
6 Boise State Broncos 1128 .765
7 Arkansas Razorbacks 1112 .754
8 Wisconsin Badgers 1085 .736
9 South Carolina Gamecocks 971 .658
10 Kansas State Wildcats 878 .595
11 Virginia Tech Hokies 835 .566
12 Michigan Wolverines 789 .535