BCS Computer Rankings Week Two: Kansas State gains wider support among computers

As indicated by their climb to No. 3 in this week’s BCS rankings, the Kansas State Wildcats were the beneficiaries of some increases in support among all three BCS components — the computers included.

The Wildcats capture the second-highest BCS computer aggregate score this week, sliding past Notre Dame, which had been riding alongside Florida in terms of computer support on the year. Notre Dame is down only a bit, to No. 3, while Alabama continues to lag slightly at No. 4.

The Crimson Tide are not harmed, however, as they are still a convincing overall No. 1 in this week’s BCS rankings.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Two (October 21)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Kansas St. Alabama Florida Florida Florida Kansas St.
2 Florida Oregon Notre Dame Notre Dame Kansas St. Florida
3 Oregon St. Notre Dame Oregon St. Kansas St. Alabama Alabama
4 Notre Dame Kansas St. Alabama Oregon St. LSU Oregon St.
5 Alabama Florida Kansas St. Alabama Notre Dame Notre Dame
6 Oregon LSU Oregon Oregon Oregon St. LSU

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Two (October 21)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Florida Gators .980
2 Kansas State Wildcats .940
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .900
4 Alabama Crimson Tide .890
5 Oregon State Beavers .870
6 Oregon Ducks .790
7 LSU Tigers .780
8 Oklahoma Sooners .700
9 Texas Tech Red Raiders .660
10 South Carolina Gamecocks .620
11 Rutgers Scarlet Knights .560
11 Stanford Cardinal .560

Second BCS Rankings of 2012: Kansas State leaps past Oregon for No. 3 slot

Try as it might, Oregon can’t seem to catch a break. Undefeated and taking care of business so far in 2012, Oregon slips a spot again in this week’s BCS standings, as Kansas State jumps to the No. 3 spot in the latest BCS rankings.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida Gators
3 Kansas State Wildcats
4 Oregon Ducks
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Scroll down for more

An interesting set of circumstances led to the Wildcats’ jump past the Ducks. Because of Kansas State’s blowout victory over West Virginia, the Wildcats were able to get a big bounce in both the polls and the computers. Already with a sizable lead in the computers over Oregon, the Wildcats made up the difference in the polls that they needed to just slide by the Ducks in the second BCS rankings.

For its part, Florida was able to retain the surprising No. 2 spot it claimed in last week’s first BCS rankings, in fact bringing its BCS score up with an increase in human polls and computer support.

So Oregon lands at No. 4, behind two teams that are behind the Ducks in both human elements, which make up two-thirds of the BCS formula. Can the distance be made up? The Ducks will be afforded the opportunity to make up some ground in the computer rankings in the coming weeks, but it remains to be seen what potential impact victories over BCS No. 9 USC and BCS No. 7 Oregon State could have. This will be the intrigue and controversy of the BCS for the next few weeks at least.

Further down the BCS rankings, Notre Dame remains a steady No. 5, with LSU hot at its heels at No. 6. Oregon State, Oklahoma and USC all jump one spot with South Carolina out of the way, while Georgia, Mississippi State and Florida State round out the top 12.

We’re all set up for the controversy we’ve become accustomed to when it comes to BCS rankings. Let’s find out how it all plays out. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout the coming weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the second BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Two — October 21st

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .9625
2 Florida Gators .9310
3 Kansas State Wildcats .9111
4 Oregon Ducks .8966
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .8512
6 LSU Tigers .7862
7 Oregon State Beavers .7421
8 Oklahoma Sooners .7126
9 USC Trojans .5767
10 Georgia Bulldogs .5379
11 Mississippi State Bulldogs .5265
12 Florida State Seminoles .4925
13 South Carolina Gamecocks .4797
14 Texas Tech Red Raiders .4736
15 Rutgers Scarlet Knights .4703
16 Louisville Cardinals .4196

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Solid across the top. Let’s look at spots 10-12. We projected a Mississippi State-Georgia-South Carolina finish. We got Georgia-Mis.s State-Florida State-South Carolina at 10-13. MSU just missed bumping the Georgia, and South Carolina just missed bumping Florida State.

Harris Interactive Poll Week Eight: Florida shrinks gap between itself and Oregon

At first glace, you might not see the change in the wind in the Harris Poll this week. But look closer, you’ll see that Oregon’s grasp on the No. 2 spot is weakening.

In fact, both Florida, which halves the distance between itself and Oregon, and Kansas State, which makes significant gains, creep closer to the Ducks. An all important result of a weekend full of statement victories around the country.

Explore for yourself:

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – October 21

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 2868 .997
2 Oregon Ducks 2727 .949
3 Florida Gators 2622 .912
4 Kansas State Wildcats 2571 .894
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2374 .826
6 LSU Tigers 2270 .790
7 Oklahoma Sooners 2021 .703
8 Oregon State Beavers 2001 .696
9 USC Trojans 1934 .673
10 Florida State Seminoles 1911 .665
11 Georgia Bulldogs 1603 .558
12 Mississippi State Bulldogs 1602 .557

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week Eight: Florida, Kansas State edge closer to Oregon

As expected, Oregon’s Thursday night victory over Arizona State is not enough to hold off both Florida and Kansas State from gaining on the Ducks in the latest Coaches’ Poll.

Kansas State actually slips to No. 4, but gains votes across the board. Not much in terms of surprises here, and though Florida’s slight advantage on the Wildcats might be a shock to some, the slight difference (two votes or .002 share) is a negligible difference.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – October 21

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 1475 1.000
2 Oregon Ducks 1403 .951
3 Florida Gators 1329 .901
4 Kansas State Wildcats 1326 .899
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1221 .828
6 LSU Tigers 1164 .789
7 Oklahoma Sooners 1084 .735
8 USC Trojans 1014 .687
9 Oregon State Beavers 974 .660
10 Florida State Seminoles 948 .643
11 Georgia Bulldogs 850 .576
12 Mississippi State Bulldogs 800 .542

Projected BCS Standings: Kansas State climbs to No. 3 in second BCS rankings of 2012

Just two weeks into the BCS standings and the chase is on — it’s more than certain. That’s just what a weekend full of strong statement victories from the nation’s best will get you.

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida Gators
3 Kansas State Wildcats
4 Oregon Ducks
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Scroll down for more

So, are there any surprises in store for the second BCS rankings? Not many. But one could be on its way near the top.

When the first set of rankings were released, many were confused by an Oregon team that landed at No. 3. Somewhat a victim of not playing the weekend before and big victories from Florida and Kansas State, the Ducks landed at the unenviable position of the No. 3 spot in the BCS.

One weekend later, could they be headed down a spot again? They certainly wont be able to catch a Florida team coming off of a victory over previously BCS No. 7 South Carolina.

But more importantly, Kansas State registered a big victory over West Virginia. And not only that, it was box score big — important given voters habits. Votes will be split among the Gators, Ducks and Wildcats more strongly than they were last weekend. Combined with only slightly improved computer rankings, it could mean another knock down for Oregon and a bump up for Kansas State.

But there shouldn’t be much worry in Eugene. Games await the Ducks against USC and the surprisingly undefeated (and tomorrow’s likely BCS No. 7) Oregon State. Oregon has more than enough power to climb back to the No. 2 spot if the Ducks remain undefeated.

From there on down there isn’t a whole lot of shock to go around. LSU is likely to see a nice bump from a victory over Texas A&M, but is likely be unable to catch Notre Dame at No. 5. South Carolina’s loss sends them tumbling, allowing Oregon State, Oklahoma and USC to all climb up a spot.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standings will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Two (October 21)

Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida Gators
3 Kansas State Wildcats
4 Oregon Ducks
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
6 LSU Tigers
7 Oregon State Beavers
8 Oklahoma Sooners
9 USC Trojans
10 Mississippi State Bulldogs
11 Georgia Bulldogs
12 South Carolina Gamecocks

Projected 2013 BCS Bowls — October 21st

An in-conference demonstration of strength is about the best thing any team with BCS aspirations can hope to do on any given October weekend. If you’re looking for a team to do just that this weekend, look no further than Kansas State.

BCS Bowl Projections
Bowl Matchup
Title Game Oregon vs. Alabama
Rose Bowl USC vs. Wisconsin
Sugar Bowl Florida vs. Boise State
Orange Bowl Florida St. vs. Louisville
Fiesta Bowl Kansas State vs. Notre Dame
Scroll down for more

While a close victory over Oklahoma might have seemed like an upset at the time, the Wildcats pummeling of West Virginia on Saturday would make anyone think that K-State is for real.

So the Wildcats make their statement against a Mountaineers squad seeing their BCS stock slip week-to-week, opening up a gap in the projections, but more importantly reminding us that we’ve got ways to go before anything here settles.

For now, we’ve got more college football to come — let’s enjoy it.

BCS National Championship Game: Alabama Crimson Tide (BCS No. 1) vs. Oregon Ducks (BCS No. 2)

Comment: The later we get in the season, the more this matchup seems like the kind of matchup college football’s purists and addicts would salivate over. Both Alabama and Oregon had little trouble putting together victories over conference foes. If Oregon can survive a revived USC squad and Alabama a lively group of SEC teams, they’ll get here sure enough.

Rose Bowl: USC Trojans (At-large selection) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (Big Ten champion)

Comment: Week after week, it seems the story out of the Big Ten is Ohio State. Still undefeated — though barely — the Buckeyes can’t actually make a bowl this year. But they’re very impressive. So when picking a Big Ten champ, you have to find a school pushing for an impression of their own.

It certainly wasn’t Nebraska this weekend, so let’s go with a seemingly revived Wisconsin squad to take on the Pac-12’s second-best, USC.

Sugar Bowl: Florida Gators (At-large selection) vs. Boise State Broncos (At-large selection)

Comment: A slow, steady climb to an 11-1 record would likely mean the Broncos would finish highest among non-BCS ranked schools in the top 12, or ranked ahead of the lowest-ranked AQ conference champion (likely the Big Ten’s) in the top 16, which guarantees a BCS bowl bid.

Even without the selection procedure, an 11-1 Boise State would still represent a strong pick for any bowl — with growing  name recognition and a strong national profile. For the Sugar Bowl, which could set up a matchup for the Broncos with Florida, this is a great, unusual showdown.

Orange Bowl: Florida State Seminoles (ACC champion) vs. Louisville Cardinals (Big East champion)

Comment: Both Florida State and Louisville survived tests this weekend. With an ACC championship, Florida State would be headed here. Louisville, as the Big East’s champion, would have an automatic entrance to one of these bowls, and would likely fall here or to the Sugar Bowl.

Fiesta Bowl: Kansas State Wildcats (Big 12 champion) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (At-large selection)

Comment: The Wildcats now clearly in the Big 12’s drivers seat, they’ll be headed to the Fiesta Bowl as the conference’s champ if they can’t catch up to and pass the trio of squads ahead of them in the BCS. They’ll likely to see Notre Dame on the opposite sideline, even if the Irish drop a few games between here and the end of the year.

BCS Computer Rankings Week Three: Stanford Gains Computer Support

Oklahoma State remains atop the computer ranking systems for a second straight week, but its Stanford who enjoys the biggest jump in support, as reflected in the most recent BCS standings.

Oklahoma also sees a strong rebound in support after its victory over previously undefeated Kansas State.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Three (October 30)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Oklahoma St. LSU Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St.
2 Alabama Oklahoma St. LSU LSU Alabama Alabama
3 LSU Alabama Alabama Alabama LSU LSU
4 Boise St. Stanford Boise St. Boise St. Arkansas Boise St.
5 Stanford Boise St. Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma Stanford
6 Oklahoma Oklahoma Stanford Kansas St. Boise St. Oklahoma

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Three (October 30)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1.000
2t Alabama Crimson Tide .940
2t LSU Tigers .940
4 Boise State Broncos .870
5 Oklahoma Sooners .820
6 Stanford Cardinal .800
7 Arkansas Razorbacks .700
8 Kansas State Wildcats .690
9 Clemson Tigers .670
10 South Carolina Gamecocks .640
11 Virginia Tech Hokies .560
12 Nebraska Cornhuskers .520