BCS Computer Rankings Week One: Oklahoma State Rides High on Computer Support

Oklahoma State reaps huge benefits from their victory over Texas on the weekend, coming in at No. 1 in four of the six BCS computers, while BCS No. 1 LSU takes just one computer poll, Billingsley’s.

Alabama, ever so slightly behind LSU for the No. 1 spot in the BCS standings, takes Sagarin’s computer, and fares well across the board, but not nearly as well as the Cowboys.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week One (October 16th)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Oklahoma State LSU Oklahoma State Oklahoma State Alabama Oklahoma State
2 Alabama Oklahoma Oklahoma Alabama LSU Alabama
3 LSU Alabama Alabama Clemson Clemson LSU
4 Oklahoma Oklahoma State LSU Oklahoma Oklahoma State Clemson
5 Clemson Boise State Boise State LSU Oklahoma Oklahoma
6 Boise State Clemson Clemson Kansas State Wisconsin Boise State

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week One (October 16th)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Oklahoma State Cowboys .970
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .950
3 LSU Tigers .920
4 Oklahoma Sooners .890
5 Clemson Tigers .860
6 Boise State Broncos .800
7 Kansas State Wildcats .740
8 Stanford Cardinal .620
9 Arkansas Razorbacks .620
10 Virginia Tech Hokies .610
11 Wisconsin Badgers .600
12 Oregon Ducks .480

First BCS Rankings of 2011: LSU Takes Top Spot Followed Closely by Alabama

Our very first BCS rankings of the season anoint LSU as the top team in the country, but with LSU and Oklahoma right on the Tigers’ tale, the order of the top three matters little.

On the strength of computer support and Harris’s No. 1, the Tigers jump past the Sooners and Crimson Tide to claim the first BCS No. 1 of the season.

Oklahoma State grabs an impressive No. 4 spot in the first edition of the BCS, while Boise State, Wisconsin, Clemson and Stanford round out the top eight.

The Cowboys are the recipients of the strongest computer support in the country, offsetting their relatively weak performance in the human elements. Oklahoma State’s .970 computer share was by far the best in the country, giving them an easy No. 4 spot.

Stanford and Wisconsin’s relatively strong support in the human elements are offset by their poor performances across the BCS computers, leaving the Cardinal and Badgers with some work to do if they’re interested in making a run at the national championship game.

Boise State will also be hard pressed to make a run at the title game without a loss from one of the favorites above the Broncos in these first set of rankings.

With national consensus that a Nov. 5 meeting between LSU and Alabama will decide one of the national title teams, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State also have what could be a de facto national semifinal on their schedules already, a December 3rd meeting.

But of course, all must need to keep undefeated to remain in position to challenge for a title shot.

But enough talk, here’s the first version of the BCS rankings.

BCS Standings Week One — October 16th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 LSU Tigers .9522
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .9519
3 Oklahoma Sooners .9301
4 Oklahoma State Cowboys .8568
5 Boise State Broncos .8027
6 Wisconsin Badgers .7708
7 Clemson Tigers .7582
8 Stanford Cardinal .7484
9 Arkansas Razorbacks .6262
10 Oregon Ducks .6190
11 Kansas State Wildcats .5688
12 Virginia Tech Hokies .5048
13 Nebraska Cornhuskers .4972
14 South Carolina Gamecocks .4914
15 West Virginia Mountaineers .3730
16 Michigan State Spartans .3288

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCSvs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Switched No. 1 and No. 2, although the difference is, once again, negligible.
    • 3-8 is all good, while I switched a few things up later on, projecting Oregon a little too high and Arkansas a little low.
    • Odd how Virginia Tech shot up to No. 12 after not even ranking among the top 16 in last week’s simulation. However, it is more than explainable after losses from Michigan, Georgia Tech and Illinois cleared space for the Hokies’ jump.
    • Big East ‘power’ West Virginia sits at No. 15, hanging on dearly to that No. 16 line.

Harris Interactive Poll Week Seven: LSU Leads Stagnant Top Nine

LSU continues to rule the Harris Poll, and although the top nine are unchanged, small differences might play a big role down the line.

Oklahoma sees some of its support slip, while other teams gain on the top tier of LSU, Oklahoma and Alabama.

Arkansas, Nebraska and Kansas State round out the top 12 as a bevy of undefeateds fall on the weekend.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – October 16th

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 2819 .981
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 2744 .954
2 Oklahoma Sooners 2684 .934
4 Wisconsin Badgers 2463 .857
5 Boise State Broncos 2339 .814
6 Oklahoma State Cowboys 2315 .805
7 Stanford Cardinal 2291 .797
8 Clemson Tigers 2063 .718
9 Oregon Ducks 1955 .680
10 Arkansas Razorbacks 1805 .628
11 Nebraska Cornhuskers 1484 .516
12 Kansas State Wildcats 1457 .507

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week Seven: LSU, Alabama Make Up Ground on No. 1 Oklahoma

With BCS rankings due out tonight, Oklahoma claims the top spot in one of the three BCS components, once again coming in at No. 1 in the USA Today Coaches’ Poll.

The Sooners see a little dip in support, however, as LSU and Alabama gain a few points on Oklahoma in the most recent version of the poll.

Oklahoma State also makes a surprisingly little jump, bouncing Boise State from the top six. Clemson and Oregon come in tied at No. 8, as both survive late Saturday against worthy foes.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – October 16th

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Oklahoma Sooners 1426 .967
2 LSU Tigers 1410 .956
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 1402 .951
4 Wisconsin Badgers 1262 .856
5 Stanford Cardinal 1222 .828
6 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1173 .795
7 Boise State Broncos 1172 .794
8t Clemson Tigers 1028 .697
8t Oregon Ducks 1028 .697
10 Arkansas Razorbacks 931 .632
11 Nebraska Cornhuskers 775 .525
12 South Carolina Gamecocks 765 .519

Projected BCS Standings: Alabama to Debut at No. 1 in the First BCS Rankings of 2011

Undefeated teams being weeded out by lesser opponents, top teams feeling the pressure early and late and everyone from Eugene to Tuscaloosa hyped about human poll rankings and decimal points on a computer scale? Must almost be time for the first BCS rankings of the year.

With plenty of intriguing and exciting games thus far this season, the upheaval we’ve become accustomed to in the college football landscape isn’t gone — but it certainly hasn’t been quite the same this year.

Alabama, LSU and Oklahoma make up a trio of undoubtedly the strongest tier of teams in the nation, and that will be reflected in tomorrow’s BCS rankings. Teams such as Wisconsin, Oklahoma State, Boise State and Stanford are right behind them.

With the first rankings due out tomorrow, many might wonder the implications of the top teams in the nation and where they land. The truth of the matter, of course, is that they wont matter much.

Alabama and LSU are set to play Nov. 5, and if both remain undefeated until that time, well, it doesn’t matter even a bit where they land any of the next few weeks in these BCS rankings. Oklahoma and Oklahoma State are also looking forward to a Bedlam with national title implications, and undefeated Sooners and Cowboys come Dec. 3 could easily mean two de facto national semifinals a whole month apart.

So does it matter where they land Sunday? Nope, but it’s intriguing all the same.

LSU topped last week’s first Harris Poll, while Oklahoma continued to ride high in the Coaches’ element. To round out the trio, Alabama topped three of the available computer polls to LSU and Oklahoma’s one a piece. So who comes out on top this week?

One thing’s for certain. It’s going to be close. And it might come down to the slight changes in the computer polls, as we’ve seen human pollsters be somewhat stubborn this season in moving teams around, even if they don’t look the part of their ranking in victories.

As far as the computers are concerned, LSU’s victory over Tennessee is the strongest of the three victories on the weekend, while the Tigers’ victory over Oregon looks better by comparison after the Ducks topped Arizona State on Saturday. Alabama’s victory over Arkansas also looks better every week.

So the calculation is close. How close? Right now, the difference between the three is miniscule, about .007 actually. Any slight change could spell any of the three taking No. 1 tomorrow.

It’s anyone’s for the taking. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of all of the computers, human polls and everything in between.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standing will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week One (October 16th)

Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 LSU Tigers
3 Oklahoma Sooners
4 Oklahoma State Cowboys
5 Boise State Broncos
6 Wisconsin Badgers
7 Clemson Tigers
8 Stanford Cardinal
9 Oregon Ducks
10 Arkansas Razorbacks
11 South Carolina Gamecocks
12 Kansas State Wildcats

Projected 2012 BCS Bowls – October 16th

The first BCS rankings are nearly upon us, which means just seven weeks separate us from finding out just who is going to fill these precious 10 BCS bowl slots.

From Baton Rouge to Stillwater, teams are still jockeying for position among voters, computers and the national media; all with the hopes of making a run at a BCS national title.

Not much shook up the projections for this week, but the undeniable presence of BCS rankings are sure to mix things up at least a bit these next few weeks. How will these teams respond?

For reference, the at-large selection order for the 2012 bowl slate (after hosting contracts have been filled and the NCG is filled) is: Fiesta, Sugar, Orange.

BCS National Championship Game: LSU Tigers (BCS No. 1) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (BCS No. 2)

Comment: Traveling on the weekend the first BCS rankings are released can often spell trouble for some top ranked teams, but the Sooners and Tigers had little trouble dispatching their hosts this weekend, as LSU toppled Tennessee easily and Oklahoma ran away from Kansas.

Both are likely looking down the road as massive roadblocks between these teams and the title game loom — namely Alabama and Oklahoma State — but both must stay wary to not slip up between now and their all-important conference battles, or they could loose the opportunity to play in what could be de facto national semifinals.

Rose Bowl: Stanford Cardinal (Pac-12 Champion) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (Big Ten Champion)

Comment: Oregon’s struggle with Arizona State at home, coupled with some injuries, strengthens Stanford’s case this weekend as Pac-12 favorites, although the debate will be settled on the field when the two teams meet down the road a little bit. But an easy victory for Stanford did little to cast any doubt on the Cardinal’s position as favorites.

Wisconsin too had no trouble dispatching their conference foe this weekend, and continue to simply plaster their opponents week after week. When will the Badgers truly be tested? Perhaps next week’s test against Michigan State will show the Badgers’ true colors.

Sugar Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide (At-large selection) vs. Boise State Broncos (At-large selection)

Comment: Once again, both teams coast on by lesser opponents giving yet another reason to expect both to secure BCS bids come the end of the season.

However, the question remains if either can make their way to a title game instead of a simple BCS bowl. For Alabama, the solution seems to be a victory over LSU, which at this point seems a toss-up proposition, while for Boise State, the dominoes that need to fall are a little more difficult to push.

Orange Bowl: Clemson Tigers (ACC Champion) vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (Big East Champion)

Comment: Uneasy times for Dabo Swinney and Clemson on Saturday, as Maryland proved a far greater threat than many had assumed they would pose to the Tigers, but Clemson did come away with the victory. More than anything, Clemson proved it could fight back, as so many have this season, and still looks like the class of a very muddled ACC conference and title picture.

West Virginia had the weekend off, although watching other Big East teams around the country stumble to some victories and crumble in some losses, the Mountaineers continue to look like the best of a interesting bunch in 2011.

Fiesta Bowl: Oregon Ducks (At-large selection) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (At-large selection)

Comment: Some good and some bad for the Ducks on Saturday as they bested Arizona State at home, but injury concerns and some questions about their defense did come up throughout the game. Can the Ducks hold on to this precarious spot as an at-large team? The rest of the Pac-12 is waiting to test just that.

Oklahoma State pulled through an important victory Saturday, besting Texas for the second straight season and sending the Cowboys into a stretch of their schedule that looks somewhat less difficult after Baylor dropped a second game and Kansas State struggled to stay undefeated against Texas Tech. Oklahoma State, like Alabama, can play in a de facto national semifinal if the Cowboys and Sooners can stay undefeated until they matchup on the last day of the season, but they will have to get their first.