BCS Computer Rankings Week One: Florida the computer darling of the first BCS standings

Not surprisingly, an SEC team leads the way in the BCS rankings, and an SEC team leads the way in the aggregate BCS computer rankings. But they’re not the same team.

No, it’s Florida that pulls in the best aggregate BCS computer ranking in the first BCS standings of 2012, pulling in an impressive .960 score, which helped the Gators grab the No. 2 spot from the clutches of the Oregon Ducks. Florida is followed closely by another mild surprise, Notre Dame, which enjoys a comfortable .940 aggregate score on the strength of an already robust strength of schedule and undefeated record.

Alabama lands at No. 3 in the computer rankings with a .930 share, followed by Kansas State’s .920. But let’s explore deeper.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week One (October 14)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Florida Alabama Notre Dame Notre Dame Alabama Kansas St.
2 Kansas St. Notre Dame Florida Florida Florida Florida
3 Notre Dame Oregon Alabama Kansas St. Kansas St. Alabama
4 Oregon St. Kansas St. Oregon St. Alabama Notre Dame Notre Dame
5 Alabama Florida Kansas St. Oregon St. LSU Oregon St.
6 Oregon LSU Oregon Oklahoma Oregon Oklahoma

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week One (October 14)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Florida Gators .960
2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .940
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .930
4 Kansas State Wildcats .920
5 Oregon State Beavers .830
6 Oregon Ducks .780
7 South Carolina Gamecocks .700
7 Texas Tech Red Raiders .700
9 LSU Tigers .670
10 Oklahoma Sooners .660
11 Rutgers Scarlet Knights .560
12 West Virginia Mountaineers .530

First BCS Rankings of 2012: Alabama and Florida pace the field

While you might not agree, you at least have to marvel. Once again, the BCS rankings are ruled by two SEC teams, as No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Florida lead the way in the first BCS rankings of the 2012 season.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida Gators
3 Oregon Ducks
4 Kansas State Wildcats
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Scroll down for more

How did they do it? Well, a combination of ways. It was clear to just about anyone that Alabama would be atop these first set of rankings, and they pulled in an impressive first-week .9761 score, showing a wide-spread belief that Alabama is the team to beat.

Oregon, which captured both No. 2 rankings in the Harris and Coaches’ polls gets bypassed by a hungry Gators squad, which enjoys the nation’s best computer rankings. Oregon, on the other hand, gets just the nation’s sixth-best computer score, giving it too little to hang ahead of the Gators.

Further down the spread, we get our first glance of a Big 12 school, as Kansas State lands at No. 4. A strong rebound into the top four computer scores allowed the Wildcats to stay ahead of Notre Dame, which lands at No. 5.

Our first one-loss squad is unsurprisingly LSU, coming off of a great victory over South Carolina, landing at No. 6. Those same Gamecocks land at No. 7, seeing the steadying affect of the computer rankings keep their BCS dreams afloat for the time being.

Undefeated and surprising Oregon State is the beneficiary of some strong computer support at No. 8 despite a lacking level of support for an undefeated squad from an AQ conference. The Beavers are trailed by strong one-loss squads USC and Oklahoma to round out the top 10.

We’re in the home stretch now, believe it or not. Just seven weeks remain. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout the coming weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the first BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week One — October 14th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .9761
2 Florida Gators .9092
3 Oregon Ducks .8993
4 Kansas State Wildcats .8963
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .8774
6 LSU Tigers .7522
7 South Carolina Gamecocks .6930
8 Oregon State Beavers .6808
9 Oklahoma Sooners .6664
10 USC Trojans .5959
11 Georgia Bulldogs .4980
12 Mississippi State Bulldogs .4846
13 West Virginia Mountaineers .4793
14 Florida State Seminoles .4277
15 Rutgers Scarlet Knights .4083
16 Louisville Cardinals .4061

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Well, other than seeing the Ducks bypassed by the slimmest of margins, a solid week to start. Never fun to have the mix at the top. But solid. Take it as you will.

Harris Interactive Poll Week Seven: Florida leaps three spots to No. 3

Alabama stays atop the poll, while Florida brings a distinct SEC flavor to the top three in the Harris Interactive Poll.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – October 14

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 2870 .998
2 Oregon Ducks 2758 .959
3 Florida Gators 2554 .888
4 Kansas State Wildcats 2538 .883
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2427 .844
6 LSU Tigers 2263 .787
7 South Carolina Gamecocks 1992 .693
8 Florida State Seminoles 1898 .660
9 Oklahoma Sooners 1860 .647
10 Oregon State Beavers 1850 .643
11 USC Trojans 1820 .633
12 Georgia Bulldogs 1574 .547

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week Seven: Kansas State, Florida make big jumps

With West Virginia and South Carolina out of the way, Kansas State rises to No. 3  in the latest USA Today Coaches’ Poll Top 25.

With the BCS rankings just around the corner, the time could not be better for teams to make big moves, and the Wildcats, along with Florida and Notre Dame, have done just that. Florida lands at No. 4, while Notre Dame is in at No. 5 in the latest coaches’ poll.

LSU is back in the thick of things at No. 6 after topping South Carolina over the weekend. West Virginia, on the other hand, is tumbled way out of the top-10, all the way to No. 15.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – October 14

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 1475 1.000
2 Oregon Ducks 1414 .959
3 Kansas State Wildcats 1307 .886
4 Florida Gators 1297 .879
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1251 .848
6 LSU Tigers 1179 .799
7 Oklahoma Sooners 1021 .692
8 South Carolina Gamecocks 1012 .686
9 USC Trojans 995 .675
10 Florida State Seminoles 919 .623
11 Oregon State Beavers 839 .569
12 Georgia Bulldogs 806 .546

Projected BCS Standings: Alabama, Oregon to lead the way in first BCS rankings of 2012

For the football played, the losses suffered and wins gained, how much have we actually learned about the contenders from opening weekend to today?

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Florida Gators
4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5 Kansas State Wildcats
Scroll down for more

Weekend to weekend, the upsets have occurred, but we stand at the precipice of the season’s first BCS rankings seeing the same kind of BCS déjà vu. For better or worse much will be familiar in Sunday’s first BCS rankings of the year.

An SEC team will debut at the top of the BCS. Alabama has made that much certain with the way they’ve run the table thus far this year. Relatively shoddy (fourth or fifth as opposed to first) computer support leading up to the first BCS rankings should be of no concern to Alabama’s hopes or the Tide faithful. Play like this against the SEC, and the spot so familiar to the Tide at this point will remain their’s.

Chasing the Tide is a group so wide that the season will have plenty of intrigue down the stretch. First among the contenders is, unsurprisingly, No. 2 Oregon, which enjoys a wide-spread support among pollsters and growing support in the computers as the season progresses. Again, the recipe for the Ducks (you may need to read that twice) is to win out to make the championship game.

The real intrigue will likely start at No. 3. The two combatants? Familiar names, but unfamiliar in recent seasons to the BCS conversation — Notre Dame and Florida. Both enjoy heavy support in the computers. And with West Virginia and South Carolina out of the way in the human elements, the two will battle tightly for the No. 3 spot tomorrow. Either could take it. For now, let’s go with the SEC’s wider-spread support in the computers and among voters to give the Gators the edge they’ll need to grab the No. 3 spot.

The Big 12 deposits a few teams in the top 12 tomorrow, starting with the conference’s lone remaining undefeated, Kansas State. The Wildcats could easily claim the fifth spot, chased by the top-tier group of one-lossers. That group includes South Carolina, LSU and Oklahoma, all of which will be rewarded heavily for staying mostly on course — and having some key wins across the board in recent weeks (South Carolina over Georgia, LSU over South Carolina, Oklahoma over Texas). Any of those three could land in the spots six through nine. But for now, the SEC teams will still get the benefit of the doubt.

So we come to the symbolic midway point of the college football season — the first BCS rankings. Are there many surprises? No. But the intrigue remains. You’ll want to stay tuned.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standings will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week One (October 14)

Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Florida Gators
4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5 Kansas State Wildcats
6 LSU Tigers
7 South Carolina Gamecocks
8 Oregon State Beavers
9 Oklahoma Sooners
10 USC Trojans
11 West Virginia Mountaineers
12 Georgia Bulldogs

Projected 2013 BCS Bowls — October 14th

The middle of October can mean only one thing — BCS rankings. With Sunday’s release of the first set of BCS rankings, these bowl projections begin to hold real weight. Who is headed where when all is said and done?

BCS Bowl Projections
Bowl Matchup
Title Game Oregon vs. Alabama
Rose Bowl USC vs. Nebraska
Sugar Bowl Florida vs. West Virginia
Orange Bowl Florida St. vs. Louisville
Fiesta Bowl Kansas State vs. Notre Dame
Scroll down for more

Surely, losses from some of the nation’s best — West Virginia, South Carolina, Stanford — shake things up a bit. But it’s not as much as you might expect. Teams are beginning to take hold of their own destiny, starting with the conference that has held its destiny in its hands each of the last six seasons, the SEC.

Despite the rough and tumble road an SEC team must pass through each season, their champion has been all but assured a spot in the national title game. Expect no different here in the weeks to come, despite the ripeness this season has already shown for the upset and the unexpected.

Seven weeks to go. It seems like we’re just getting started.

BCS National Championship Game: Alabama Crimson Tide (BCS No. 1) vs. Oregon Ducks (BCS No. 2)

Comment: The SEC continues to beat up on itself, leaving Alabama free and clear to take its place at the top of the BCS standings and the SEC itself, earning a well-deserved spot in the title game by winning the conference. Tested down the stretch in the Pac-12, the Oregon Ducks will do just enough to stay in this spot and make the title game as Pac-12 champions.

Rose Bowl: USC Trojans (At-large selection) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (Big Ten Champion)

Comment: With Oregon headed to the title game, the Rose Bowl gladly will welcome back USC to Pasadena as a replacement pick from the Pac-12. A 10-win, BCS-eligible USC team would be music to the Rose Bowl’s ears. And to pit them against Nebraska, the second-best team in a conference that features a top-tier caliber team unable to make a BCS bowl, is only icing on the cake that is the normal Rose Bowl festivities.

Sugar Bowl: Florida Gators (At-large selection) vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (At-large selection)

Comment: As the pieces fall into place, Florida’s undefeated start to the 2012 season looks more and more impressive by the weekend. Pair that with what looks like a road that could end up in the SEC Championship Game against the formidable Alabama Crimson Tide, and the Florida Gators would be a strong pick for the Sugar Bowl, which will get the chance to replace the SEC champion and title game bound Tide.

West Virginia, now no longer in the drivers’ seat for the Big 12 title, instead will fall to the Sugar Bowl with a fantastic pick and chance to match two marquee schools in New Orleans.

Orange Bowl: Florida State Seminoles (ACC Champion) vs. Louisville Cardinals (Big East Champion)

Comment: Florida State bounced back strong against Boston College this weekend, and with other ACC teams struggling — yes, Maryland is the lone remaining undefeated team in conference play in the ACC — Florida State is still ripe to take the conference title and the Orange Bowl bid that comes with it.

With this year’s final selection, the Orange Bowl could be handcuffed into taking the Big East champion. But in the Louisville Cardinals, the might find a strong enough team to call for some real attention turned the Orange Bowl’s way.

Fiesta Bowl: Kansas State Wildcats (Big 12 Champion) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (At-large selection)

Comment: With Kansas State now in the Big 12 drivers’ seat after the West Virginia loss, they’ll head the way of the Fiesta Bowl as the Big 12’s champion. Kansas State sits pretty as they make their way to Tempe as the automatic qualifier from the Big 12. The Fiesta Bowl, ripe with the opportunity to select their at-large participant first, jumps at the chance to grab a more and more qualified Notre Dame team. With a victory over Stanford, Notre Dame is doing its best to grab that BCS eligibility, and if they meet the nine-win, top-14 threshold, don’t expect the Irish to stay on the board for long.