BCS Computer Rankings Week Seven: Notre Dame And Florida Close Out Years With Computer Love

More to come.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Seven (November 25)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame
2 Florida Oregon Florida Florida Florida Florida
3 Kansas St. Alabama Stanford Alabama Oregon Georgia
4 Georgia Kansas St. Oregon LSU Georgia Alabama
5 Alabama Georgia Alabama Georgia Stanford South Carolina
6 Oregon Florida Kansas St. Oregon Kansas St. Stanford

And the aggregate BCS computer rankings:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Seven (November 25)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1.000
2 Florida Gators .960
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .870
4 Georgia Bulldogs .860
5 Oregon Ducks .850
6 Kansas State Wildcats .790
6 Stanford Cardinal .790
8 LSU Tigers .700
8 South Carolina Gamecocks .700
10 Oklahoma Sooners .650
11 Texas A&M Aggies .620
12 Nebraska Cornhuskers .580
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Seventh BCS Rankings of 2012: BCS Busters Make The Story While Notre Dame Holds No. 1 Into Season’s Final Weekend

With the drama seemingly run dry in the previous two weeks, the next to last BCS rankings of the season holds few surprises — but there’s plenty to be found if you look close enough.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Georgia Bulldogs
4 Florida Gators
5 Oregon Ducks
Scroll down for more

That simple equation we’ve been talking about — Notre Dame and the SEC champion for the BCS title game — is all but written in stone. With Notre Dame’s season-ending victory over USC, the Fighting Irish land at No. 1 in this week’s BCS rankings, and will land there again next weekend.

No. 2 Alabama and No. 3 Georgia will play in a de facto national semifinal game in the SEC Championship. Florida lands in the No. 4 spot just behind Georgia. But fret not Bulldog and Crimson Tide faithful, win the SEC and you’re in — much like it’s been these last few years.

Further down, No. 5 Oregon and No. 6 Kansas State lead a group of small changes in the BCS’s top 10 this weekend, as what was expected after a rivalry weekend full of ranked matchups whittled the field down.

So pretty bland at the top. But little further down the intrigue for yet another non-AQ BCS buster bid is in store.

Three teams — No. 17 Kent State, No. 20 Boise State and No. 21 Northern Illinois — are all within striking distance of the top 16. A spot inside the BCS’s top 16 will mean an automatic bid to a BCS this year, as the Big East’s champion will land outside the top 16, activating a clause in the BCS to include a deserving non-AQ team in the BCS process.

Although none of the three are in the mix this weekend, Northern Illinois and Kent State are set to battle for the MAC title next weekend, the winner hoping to get associated BCS bump with a win over another ranked team. A Kent State win might give the Golden Flashes just enough to claim that elusive BCS bid. Northern Illinois will need some help if they are victorious.

Boise State is doomed by its poor computer showing, and will likely not be able to crack the top 16.

Next weekend could also solidify most, if not all, of the BCS spots. Here is what’s in store:

  • The ACC Championship Game will feature Florida State and Georgia Tech. The winner is headed for the Orange Bowl.
  • The Big East will be decided Thursday when Louisville and Rutgers face off. The winner is guaranteed a BCS bowl bid.
  • The Big Ten Championship Game will feature Nebraska and Wisconsin. The winner is headed for the Rose Bowl.
  • The Big 12 will come down to Kansas State and Oklahoma. A Kansas State win over Texas gives the Wildcats the conference championship and a Fiesta Bowl bid. It also likely another Oklahoma win gives the Sooners at least an at-large spot. An Oklahoma win combined with a Kansas State loss gives Oklahoma a Fiesta Bowl bid with the conference title.
  • The Pac-12 Championship Game will feature Stanford and UCLA. The winner is headed for the Rose Bowl.
  • The SEC Championship Game will feature Georgia and Alabama. The winner is likely headed for the BCS title game. If Alabama wins, Florida is all but guaranteed a Sugar Bowl bid. If Georgia wins, either Alabama or Florida is likely Sugar Bowl bound.
  • The MAC Championship game will feature Northern Illinois and Kent State. The winner could vie for a BCS bid, needing to finish in the top 16 to make a BCS bowl.
  • As it stands, explore our projected BCS bowls. 
It all comes down to this final weekend. Though we can be pretty sure about a lot, there’s almost nothing guaranteed other than Notre Dame’s bid in the title game. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout this final week for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the seventh BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Seven — November 25th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .9979
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .9236
3 Georgia Bulldogs .8911
4 Florida Gators .8882
5 Oregon Ducks .8626
6 Kansas State Wildcats .7735
7 LSU Tigers .7357
8 Stanford Cardinal .7299
9 Texas A&M Aggies .6861
10 Florida State Seminoles .6689
11 Oklahoma Sooners .6129
12 Nebraska Cornhuskers .5393
13 Florida State Seminoles .4645
14 Clemson Tigers .4570
15 Oregon State Beavers .3790
16 UCLA Bruins .3304

Some thoughts:

Harris Interactive Poll Week 13: Florida gains while Notre Dame continues to lead

More to come.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – November 25

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2869 .998
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 2740 .953
3 Georgia Bulldogs 2599 .904
4 Oregon Ducks 2507 .872
5 Florida Gators 2435 .847
6 Kansas State Wildcats 2229 .775
7 LSU Tigers 2142 .745
8 Stanford Cardinal 2059 .716
9 Texas A&M Aggies 2038 .709
10 South Carolina Gamecocks 1862 .648
11 Oklahoma Sooners 1706 .593
12 Florida State Seminoles 1614 .561

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week 13: Notre Dame leading, but BCS busters looming

Notre Dame still rides high atop the Coaches’ Poll but the intrigue starts much lower.

Northern Illinois leads the charge of non-AQ schools looking to crack the BCS buster discussion at No. 18. Just behind them is No. 19 Kent State and No. 25 Boise State.

All teams will be aiming to grab that elusive non-AQ position in front of a AQ conference champion — in this case the Big East’s — for a bid to one of the five BCS bowls.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – November 25

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1469 .996
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 1398 .948
3 Georgia Bulldogs 1341 .909
4 Oregon Ducks 1277 .866
5 Florida Gators 1265 .858
6 LSU Tigers 1124 .762
7 Kansas State Wildcats 1114 .755
8 Texas A&M Aggies 1076 .729
9 Stanford Cardinal 1008 .683
10 South Carolina Gamecocks 972 .659
11 Oklahoma Sooners 878 .595
12 Florida State Seminoles 829 .562

Projected BCS Standings: Stanford, Florida Big Winners While Notre Dame To Lead Seventh BCS Rankings of 2012

After a weekend of classic BCS mid-November chaos, the tame holiday weekend we just saw might have left some wanting for more chaos.

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Florida Gators
4 Georgia Bulldogs
5 Oregon Ducks
Scroll down for more

And although nothing we took in this weekend came anywhere close to providing the upheaval and strange combinations that losses from the top two teams in the BCS can provide, we certainly were able to answer some questions.

That starts at the top, of course, as Notre Dame will bow at the top of the BCS standings both this week and next, and will be on its way to a national title game.

That’s the luxury of ending your season a weekend early, and ending it with a nationally televised win over your traditional rival, in this case USC. After that it gets a bit funny, but nothing we can’t explain.

Alabama again will occupy the No. 2 spot in tomorrow’s BCS rankings, awaiting its SEC title showdown with Georgia, which will slip one spot this weekend to No. 4. Why? Well, the Bulldogs’ win over a ACC title game-bound Georgia Tech squad will not prove the impact win they might want the weekend before the SEC title game.

Florida will instead occupy that spot on the strength of the best out-of-conference victory of the weekend, and will slide into No. 3. But any fret that result may cause either Alabama or Georgia fans hoping the two teams are playing in a de facto national semifinal should be short-lived.

Whichever team wins the SEC will play the Fighting Irish in the BCS title game. You can be sure of it.

After that, things will look pretty familiar. Stanford’s win over UCLA — setting up a rematch less than a week from now for the Pac-12 title — will prove more of a mover of votes that you might expect, and give the Cardinal a push past LSU for the No. 7 spot.

Oklahoma and Nebraska will slide back into the top 12 after losses from Clemson and the Seminoles open up the way.

But that’s the simple stuff. The things to keep an eye on? The non-AQ chase. With Boise State, Northern Illinois and Kent State angling for a spot in a BCS bowl, the possibility remains that any of the three could steal a BCS bid away from an AQ conference school with a finish in the top 16.

Expect all three to land outside the top 16 this weekend. Next weekend, however, the BCS might just sneak in its fourth non-AQ team in five seasons.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standings will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Seven (November 25th)

Rank Team
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Florida Gators
4 Georgia Bulldogs
5 Oregon Ducks
6 Kansas State Wildcats
7 Stanford Cardinal
8 LSU Tigers
9 Texas A&M Aggies
10 South Carolina Gamecocks
11 Oklahoma Sooners
12 Nebraska Cornhuskers

Projected 2013 BCS Bowls — November 25th

A week remains, and although we’ve made sure to likely lock down one BCS title contender, nothing’s been guaranteed among the 10 BCS spots available.

BCS Bowl Projections
Bowl Matchup
Title Game Notre Dame vs. Alabama
Rose Bowl Stanford vs. Nebraska
Sugar Bowl Florida vs. Oklahoma
Orange Bowl Florida State vs. Louisville
Fiesta Bowl Oregon vs. Kansas State
Scroll down for more

That being said, the penultimate weekend of college football in 2012 did plenty to shine light on what will likely be a strong slate of BCS bowls, the title game included. Could this be the best slate of BCS bowls in the era?

Yes, Notre Dame is BCS title game bound, but there was plenty more to be found on college football’s showdown and rivalry Saturday.

BCS National Championship Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (BCS No. 1) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (BCS No. 2)

Comment: Notre Dame will get its shot. With a victory over USC, the Fighting Irish are all but locked in to the BCS title game slot, where they will face the winner of an all-out national semifinal masquerading as the SEC title game when Alabama and Georgia show down. The Fighting Irish will get their shot to end a six-year streak of SEC champions, and with Alabama showing all of its colors against Auburn, we’ll project it’ll be the Crimson Tide aiming to repeat and continue that streak.

Rose Bowl: Stanford Cardinal (Pac-12 champion) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (Big Ten champion)

Comment: Stanford entered their regular season finale against UCLA knowing a few things well — a win would give them the Pac-12 North title and a berth in the Pac-12 title game. But the kicker was that a win would also mean another meeting with the Bruins — six days later — and that’s exactly what we got. Stanford will get a chance to gain a berth in the Rose Bowl with a repeat win over UCLA in Friday’s Pac-12 championship game.

Nebraska will get a similar shot against Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game, a meeting that has seemingly been in the cards for weeks, but is now official. A win there and the one-bid Big Ten will get its champion on its way to Pasadena.

Sugar Bowl: Florida Gators (At-large selection) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (At-large selection)

Comment: You might think that a national semifinal in the SEC Championship Game would mean the loser would end up landing softly in the BCS anyways. Unfortunately for Georgia, it is unlikely that if the Bulldogs were to lose to Alabama in the SEC title game, they would fall completely out of the BCS picture, with Florida’s win over Florida State all but assuring the Gators gaining a BCS bid if Alabama is title game bound. If the Gators finish as the top-ranked non-AQ conference champion in the top-four, Florida would be guaranteed a BCS bowl bid. If Georgia were to win, however, you might see Alabama get an at-large bid on the strength of their national profile.

Oklahoma, sneaking past Oklahoma State, gave themselves a do-or-die opportunity against TCU next weekend. A victory over the very game Horned Frogs likely means a BCS bid for the Sooners. And if the cards play out as projected, the Sugar Bowl would be quick to snap up the Sooners and pit them against the Gators.

Orange Bowl: Florida State Seminoles (ACC champion) vs. Louisville Cardinals (Big East champion)

Comment: Two teams that had just one loss on the year both fell hard on Saturday. But with Florida State getting Georgia Tech in the ACC title game, the Seminoles will have a surprisingly down opponent to topple if they want a Orange Bowl bid, and they’ll get it.

As for the Big East, despite Louisville’s season-long dominance, has yet again turned into a mess in the final weeks of the season, with multiple teams still alive in the conference. Thankfully, we’ll get some likely closure when Rutgers and Louisville face off on Thursday. If Louisville is victorious, the highest-ranked Big East team in the BCS would BCS bowl bound, and Louisville is that projected team, with the Cardinals landing here in the Orange Bowl.

Fiesta Bowl: Oregon Ducks (At-large selection) vs. Kansas State Wildcats (Big 12 champion)

Comment: Oregon, despite an important victory against Oregon State, will miss out on the Pac-12 championship game, and in turn miss out on the Rose Bowl. But the once-defeated Ducks will likely be headed to a BCS bowl, and where better than in the Fiesta Bowl to take on the Big 12 champion Kansas State Wildcats. Of course, Oklahoma still has a shot at the Big 12 title and the Fiesta Bowl bid that comes with it, but we’ll project that Kansas State will top Texas next weekend and claim this spot, helping the Big 12 to two BCS bids once again.