BCS Computer Rankings Week Five: Notre Dame Regains Top Spot Among Computers

More to come.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Five (November 11)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Kansas St. Kansas St. Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame
2 Notre Dame Notre Dame Florida Kansas Kansas St. Kansas St.
3 Florida Oregon Kansas St. Florida  Florida Florida
4 Oregon Alabama Alabama Oregon Georgia Oregon
5 Alabama Georgia Oregon Alabama Oregon St. Alabama
6 Georiga Florida Georgia LSU LSU Georgia

And the aggregate BCS computer rankings:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Five (November 11)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .990
2 Kansas State Wildcats .970
3 Florida Gators .920
4 Oregon Ducks .870
5 Alabama Crimson Tide .850
6 Georgia Bulldogs .810
7 LSU Tigers .770
8 Texas A&M Aggies .690
8 South Carolina Gamecocks .690
10 Oklahoma Sooners .630
11 Stanford Cardinal .610
12 Oregon State Beavers .540

Fifth BCS Rankings of 2012: Kansas State Replaces Alabama As No. 1 With Oregon At No. 2

The streak is officially on life support. For the first time in seven years, we could have a team from outside the SEC win the BCS national championship game. That’s the result of a weekend that set the BCS standings on shuffle with just three sets of these remaining.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Kansas State Wildcats
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4 Alabama Crimson Tide
5 Georgia Bulldogs
Scroll down for more

The Big 12’s Kansas State claims the top spot in the fifth BCS rankings of the 2012 season, followed by No. 2 Oregon and No. 3 Notre Dame.

Support as the No. 1 team in both polls is not enough to bring Oregon the coveted No. 1 spot, as despite being ranked No. 2 in both the Coaches’ and Harris polls, Kansas State uses a near-perfect computer score to claim the top spot.

Notre Dame too grabs strong computer support, but can’t overcoming the difference between themselves and Oregon to grab the No. 2 slot. The Fighting Irish are definitively on the outside looking in on the title picture, and will need either the Wildcats or Ducks to drop a game in the coming weeks to get a chance at the national title.

It’s not until No. 4 Alabama, fallen from its perch after a crushing loss to Texas A&M, that we see the SEC’s footprint. And though Alabama’s appearance foretells an unprecedented group that follows — six squads from the conference occupying the spots from No. 4 to No. 9 — a bigger-picture reality is now clear.

Without some real help, the SEC could be locked out of the title game, that much is clear. The unbeatens ahead of Alabama and its SEC compatriots have too strong of a foothold with just three weekends left in the year. A conference that battle tested its champions week-in and week-out while seemingly able to produce one emergent team from a heap might have beaten up on itself a little too much in 2012.

But as we learned this weekend, you can take nothing for granted, and nothing is for certain. We’re far from done with the BCS, the season or the various implications that will be in store for the weekends to come. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout these final few weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the fifth BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Five — November 11th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Kansas State Wildcats .9674
2 Oregon Ducks .9497
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .9396
4 Alabama Crimson Tide .8534
5 Georgia Bulldogs .8328
6 Florida Gators .7955
7 LSU Tigers .7331
8 Texas A&M Aggies .6621
9 South Carolina Gamecocks .6349
10 Florida State Seminoles .6071
11 Clemson Tigers .5921
12 Oklahoma Sooners .5797
13  Stanford Cardinal .5705
14 Nebraska Cornhuskers .4679
15 Texas Longhorns .4259
16 Oregon State Beavers .4161

Some thoughts:

Harris Interactive Poll Week 11: Oregon grabs top spot as Tide fall to No. 4

The Harris poll only punishes Alabama for its first loss of the year by dropping it three spots to No. 4. Oregon takes over atop the rankings, while Kansas State claims the No. 2 spot, enough for a likely No. 1 ranking when the BCS standings are released Sunday night.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – November 11

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Oregon Ducks 2844 .989
2 Kansas State Wildcats 2774 .965
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2634 .916
4 Alabama Crimson Tide 2494 .867
5 Georgia Bulldogs 2398 .834
6 Florida State Seminoles 2175 .757
7 Florida Gators 2113 .735
8 LSU Tigers 2082 .724
9 Clemson Tigers 1972 .686
10 Texas A&M Aggies 1842 .641
11 South Carolina Gamecocks 1732 .602
12 Oklahoma Sooners 1631 .567

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week 11: Oregon grabs top spot, Kansas State in at No. 2

Oregon returns to the top spot on the USA Today Coaches’ Poll for the first time since 2010, replacing Alabama after the Crimson Tide suffered their first loss of the year to Texas A&M.

For their victory, the Aggies blast into the No. 10 spot, while Kansas State, Notre Dame and Georgia each move up one spot. Alabama lands at No. 5.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – November 11

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Oregon Ducks 1460 .990
2 Kansas State Wildcats 1427 .967
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1346 .913
4 Georgia Bulldogs 1260 .854
5 Alabama Crimson Tide 1243 .843
6 Florida State Seminoles 1143 .775
7 Florida Gators 1079 .732
8 LSU Tigers 1040 .705
9 Clemson Tigers 1033 .700
10 Texas A&M Aggies 976 .662
11 South Carolina Gamecocks 903 .612
12 Oklahoma Sooners 799 .542

Projected BCS Standings: Kansas State to Claim Top Spot in Fifth BCS Rankings of 2012

While you can’t erase six years of dominance in one weekend, it’s certainly a shock to the system.

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Kansas State Wildcats
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4 Alabama Crimson Tide
5 Georgia Bulldogs
Scroll down for more

Yes, for the first time in more than two years, no SEC team will occupy one of the top two spots in tomorrow’s BCS rankings, as Kansas State and Oregon will claim those distinctions tomorrow.

That’s just what Alabama’s loss to Texas A&M as the season enters its home stretch will do, as a shakeup is in store for the BCS.

But perhaps more importantly, the shift in the BCS tide could mean a non-SEC BCS champion, breaking the conference’s dominating six-year run at claiming the BCS’s crown. Year after year the SEC was able to produce one contender from the heap that the conference seemed to create, but this year, Texas A&M might have delivered the final blow in a series of knockouts traded inside the conference, one that would spell the end of the streak.

Alabama will land just behind the three remaining undefeated eligible squads tomorrow, and just ahead of once-beaten Georgia. Given the lack of SEC strength in the top two spots, spots four through nine will be all SEC, all the time. Alabama and Georgia lead a contingent of SEC squads that is seemingly endless. But despite the dominance in sheer numbers, that top spot might remain elusive the rest of the way home.

Florida State, still struggling with poor computer showings, lands at No. 10, with the surprising Clemson and the steady Oklahoma rounding out the top 12.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standings will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Five (November 11th)

Rank Team
1 Kansas State Wildcats
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4 Alabama Crimson Tide
5 Georgia Bulldogs
6 Florida Gators
7 LSU Tigers
8 Texas A&M Aggies
9 South Carolina Gamecocks
10 Florida State Seminoles
11 Oklahoma Sooners
12 Clemson Tigers

Projected 2013 BCS Bowls — November 11th

It’s weekends like these that the whole “every game counts” mantra of the BCS looks all the more cunning.

BCS Bowl Projections
Bowl Matchup
Title Game Kansas State vs. Oregon
Rose Bowl Stanford vs. Nebraska
Sugar Bowl Alabama vs. Clemson
Orange Bowl Florida State vs. Louisville
Fiesta Bowl Florida vs. Notre Dame
Scroll down for more

Yes, we might be headed to a non-SEC BCS champion in 2012, after just one game — a SEC showdown between mainstay Alabama and newcomer Texas A&M turned the national title race on its head, giving us the first real shock of the season.

There’s no doubt the role that one, single game plays in the layout of the BCS race. It’s completely different. It’s starts at the top, sure. But from there? It gets a little crazy. Let’s dive in.

BCS National Championship Game: Kansas State Wildcats (BCS No. 1) vs. Oregon Ducks (BCS No. 2)

Comment: The change starts right at the top, of course, as for the first time in seven years, we might be headed for a non-SEC national champion. When the BCS standings are released tomorrow, we wont see an SEC team occupying the top spot, or the No. 2 spot. That shock to the system opens up the BCS title game to Wildcats and Ducks, which have been battling all season for an elusive No. 2 spot. Now both can win out and claim a spot.

Rose Bowl: Stanford Cardinal (At-large selection) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (Big Ten champion)

Comment: With Oregon headed to the title game, the Rose Bowl jumps at the chance to grab the Pac-12’s second-best team, Stanford. The Cardinal proved as much with their victory over Oregon State on Saturday, a game that might have served as an entrance exam for the Rose Bowl.

Nebraska used a late rally to squeak by Penn State, and it looks like the Cornhuskers could be headed to the Rose Bowl as the Big 12 champions.

Sugar Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide (SEC champion) vs. Clemson Tigers (At-large selection)

Comment: It’s odd to see the term ‘SEC champion’ next to a non-BCS title game contender, but that’s exactly what we’ll get if Oregon and Kansas State can win out. As the SEC’s champion, the Crimson Tide would get a Sugar Bowl bid by the nature of the conference’s agreement with the Sugar Bowl.

Clemson grabs this BCS bid largely because of the glut of SEC teams that can’t all get into the BCS — in fact, just two of them can — leaving the door open for a second ACC squad to grab a spot at the table.

Orange Bowl: Florida State Seminoles (ACC champion) vs. Louisville Cardinals (Big East champion)

Comment: As far as losses go, Louisville’s loss this weekend was largely overshadowed by a much more visible and important one — Alabama’s defeat. But the two might have been equally as shocking. Louisville was unable to hang with Syracuse, putting their hold on the Big East at risk. Winning out would still spell a BCS bid for the Cardinals with Rutgers still on the schedule, so for now, Louisville sticks against the ACC champion Seminoles in the Orange Bowl.

Fiesta Bowl: Florida Gators (At-large selection) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (At-large selection)

Comment: Yes, Notre Dame, even if it wins out, is squarely on the outside looking in at the national title picture if Kansas State and Oregon continue to perform to expectations. So given their outsider’s shot at the title game, the Irish land instead at the Fiesta Bowl, hungry to pick the Irish in their return trip to the BCS. For their opponent? The bowl lucks into having consecutive at-large selections, and goes with the one-loss Gators instead of the two-loss Bulldogs (their second loss coming in the SEC title game to Alabama in this projection).