2013 BCS Bowl Matchups

The 2013 slate of BCS bowl is official, and we’ve got some intriguing matchups in store.

The BCS slate begins on New Year’s Day with the traditional Rose Bowl, followed by the Orange Bowl that night.

We’ll get the Sugar and Fiesta bowls in successive nights on Jan. 2 and Jan. 3 before we take a few days break before the Alabama-Notre Dame showdown we’ve all been anticipating finally happens.

The 10 BCS teams include six AQ conference champions, one non-AQ conference champion and two teams that did not play in their conference title games.

2013 BCS Schedule

Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif.

January 1, 2013 5 p.m. EST

Wisconsin Badgers

vs.

Stanford Cardinal

Comment: The Badgers will be making a third straight appearance in the Rose Bowl, but they’ve lost their last two attempts in Pasadena. Stanford is also working on a three-peat — a third trip to the BCS. But this is their first Rose Bowl in that stretch. Can Stanford win in Pasadena again?
 —

Orange Bowl in Miami, Fla.

January 1, 2013 8:30 p.m. EST

Florida State Seminoles

vs.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Comment: They weren’t supposed to make it. They weren’t supposed to be able to bust the BCS this year. But Northern Illinois did just that. And they did it spectacularly, blasting six spots in one week to clinch a BCS bowl. They’ll get their reward against ACC champion Florida State in the Orange Bowl.
 —

Sugar Bowl in New Orleans, La.

January 2, 2013 8:30 p.m. EST

Florida Gators

vs.

Louisville Cardinals

Comment: Florida returns to the BCS picture by finishing as the highest-ranked, AQ-conference member to not win its own division in the top four. Louisville, the Big East’s BCS representative after coming out ahead on all of the conference’s tiebreakers, is back in the BCS for just the second time. What could be in store for a Big East-SEC meeting between two schools full of talent?
 —

Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Arizona

January 3, 2013 8:30 p.m. EST

Kansas State Wildcats

vs.

Oregon Ducks

Comment: Oregon and Kansas State were set to face off in the BCS title game not too long ago. But shocking losses in short order doomed any shot the Ducks or Wildcats had at the title game. Instead we’ll get what looks like one of the best Fiesta Bowls in recent memory as the Pac-12’s longtime powerhouse Oregon takes on the Big 12 champ Kansas State.
 —

BCS National Championship Game in Miami, Fla.

January 7, 2013 8:30 p.m. EST

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

vs.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Comment: It’s what we’ve been waiting for. Alabama, the SEC champ, gets to take on undefeated and heralded Notre Dame in a BCS title game that will definitely have the attention of the nation. Alabama will try to do the as-of-yet impossible, repeat as BCS champions. Notre Dame, appearing in its first BCS title game, will try to ruin the SEC’s six-year iron grip on the BCS title.
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USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week Nine: Notre Dame, Kansas State see big gains

A Florida loss mixed with impressive victories from Kansas State and Notre Dame once again shrunk Oregon’s hold on No. 2, but the Ducks remain 25 points ahead of No. 3 Kansas State this weekend. Notre Dame lands at No. 4 after their victory over Oklahoma, which falls just to No. 12 with the loss.

Georgia climbs to No. 6 in the USA Today Coaches’ Poll on the strength of their upset victory over Florida, but has plenty of work left to do in the coming weeks if they hope to climb into the national title discussion.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – October 28

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 1475 1.000
2 Oregon Ducks 1391 .943
3 Kansas State Wildcats 1366 .926
4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1307 .886
5 LSU Tigers 1225 .831
6 Georgia Bulldogs 1149 .779
7 Florida State Seminoles 1121 .760
8 Florida Gators 1024 .694
9 Clemson Tigers 976 .662
10 Louisville Cardinals 888 .602
11 South Carolina Gamecocks 838 .568
12 Oklahoma Sooners 758 .514

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week Eight: Florida, Kansas State edge closer to Oregon

As expected, Oregon’s Thursday night victory over Arizona State is not enough to hold off both Florida and Kansas State from gaining on the Ducks in the latest Coaches’ Poll.

Kansas State actually slips to No. 4, but gains votes across the board. Not much in terms of surprises here, and though Florida’s slight advantage on the Wildcats might be a shock to some, the slight difference (two votes or .002 share) is a negligible difference.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – October 21

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 1475 1.000
2 Oregon Ducks 1403 .951
3 Florida Gators 1329 .901
4 Kansas State Wildcats 1326 .899
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1221 .828
6 LSU Tigers 1164 .789
7 Oklahoma Sooners 1084 .735
8 USC Trojans 1014 .687
9 Oregon State Beavers 974 .660
10 Florida State Seminoles 948 .643
11 Georgia Bulldogs 850 .576
12 Mississippi State Bulldogs 800 .542

First BCS Rankings of 2012: Alabama and Florida pace the field

While you might not agree, you at least have to marvel. Once again, the BCS rankings are ruled by two SEC teams, as No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Florida lead the way in the first BCS rankings of the 2012 season.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida Gators
3 Oregon Ducks
4 Kansas State Wildcats
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Scroll down for more

How did they do it? Well, a combination of ways. It was clear to just about anyone that Alabama would be atop these first set of rankings, and they pulled in an impressive first-week .9761 score, showing a wide-spread belief that Alabama is the team to beat.

Oregon, which captured both No. 2 rankings in the Harris and Coaches’ polls gets bypassed by a hungry Gators squad, which enjoys the nation’s best computer rankings. Oregon, on the other hand, gets just the nation’s sixth-best computer score, giving it too little to hang ahead of the Gators.

Further down the spread, we get our first glance of a Big 12 school, as Kansas State lands at No. 4. A strong rebound into the top four computer scores allowed the Wildcats to stay ahead of Notre Dame, which lands at No. 5.

Our first one-loss squad is unsurprisingly LSU, coming off of a great victory over South Carolina, landing at No. 6. Those same Gamecocks land at No. 7, seeing the steadying affect of the computer rankings keep their BCS dreams afloat for the time being.

Undefeated and surprising Oregon State is the beneficiary of some strong computer support at No. 8 despite a lacking level of support for an undefeated squad from an AQ conference. The Beavers are trailed by strong one-loss squads USC and Oklahoma to round out the top 10.

We’re in the home stretch now, believe it or not. Just seven weeks remain. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout the coming weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the first BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week One — October 14th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .9761
2 Florida Gators .9092
3 Oregon Ducks .8993
4 Kansas State Wildcats .8963
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .8774
6 LSU Tigers .7522
7 South Carolina Gamecocks .6930
8 Oregon State Beavers .6808
9 Oklahoma Sooners .6664
10 USC Trojans .5959
11 Georgia Bulldogs .4980
12 Mississippi State Bulldogs .4846
13 West Virginia Mountaineers .4793
14 Florida State Seminoles .4277
15 Rutgers Scarlet Knights .4083
16 Louisville Cardinals .4061

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Well, other than seeing the Ducks bypassed by the slimmest of margins, a solid week to start. Never fun to have the mix at the top. But solid. Take it as you will.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week Seven: Kansas State, Florida make big jumps

With West Virginia and South Carolina out of the way, Kansas State rises to No. 3  in the latest USA Today Coaches’ Poll Top 25.

With the BCS rankings just around the corner, the time could not be better for teams to make big moves, and the Wildcats, along with Florida and Notre Dame, have done just that. Florida lands at No. 4, while Notre Dame is in at No. 5 in the latest coaches’ poll.

LSU is back in the thick of things at No. 6 after topping South Carolina over the weekend. West Virginia, on the other hand, is tumbled way out of the top-10, all the way to No. 15.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – October 14

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 1475 1.000
2 Oregon Ducks 1414 .959
3 Kansas State Wildcats 1307 .886
4 Florida Gators 1297 .879
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1251 .848
6 LSU Tigers 1179 .799
7 Oklahoma Sooners 1021 .692
8 South Carolina Gamecocks 1012 .686
9 USC Trojans 995 .675
10 Florida State Seminoles 919 .623
11 Oregon State Beavers 839 .569
12 Georgia Bulldogs 806 .546

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week Six: South Carolina shoots to No. 3

With LSU, Florida State and Georgia out of the way, it’s South Carolina that proves the new star of the week’s polls, bowing at No. 3 in the USA Today Coaches’ Poll.

The other big winner is West Virginia after the Tigers, Seminoles and Bulldogs suffer their first losses of the year at the hand of conference foes.

LSU is now the highest ranked one-loss squad, at No. 8, followed by No. 9 USC.

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – October 7

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 1474 .999
2 Oregon Ducks 1411 .957
3 South Carolina Gamecocks 1345 .912
4 West Virginia Mountaineers 1296 .879
5 Kansas State Wildcats 1216 .824
6 Florida Gators 1165 .790
7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1152 .781
8 LSU Tigers 961 .652
9 USC Trojans 940 .637
10 Oklahoma Sooners 872 .591
11 Florida State Seminoles 819 .555
12 Georgia Bulldogs 761 .516

Simulated BCS Rankings Week Five: SEC, already dominating, lands four of top six in latest simulation with Alabama at No. 1

Despite seeing wavering support in the polls after choosing a bad time to underwhelm voters, LSU has gained support where they needed it most — to climb one spot to No. 3 in the latest simulated BCS rankings.

Simulated BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Oregon Ducks
3 LSU Tigers
4 Florida State Seminoles
5 Georgia Bulldogs
Scroll down for more

The Tigers continue to trail the overwhelmingly No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Oregon, but with the SEC building upon its computer strength, LSU has seen an important rise in support.

The SEC, in fact, claims four of the top six spots in this week’s simulation, after Stanford’s loss and Kansas State’s bye week translated into room to move up for both South Carolina and Georgia. Combined with No. 10 Florida, the SEC boasts half of the top 10 in the simulation.

Notre Dame is already making some BCS noise, as they land at No. 7 in the latest simulation. As always, the Fighting Irish need win nine games and finish in the top eight to automatically receive a BCS bowl bid. A finish in the top 14 and nine wins would make them BCS eligible and almost guarantee an at-large selection.

With just two weekends to go before the first official BCS release, these simulated rankings are not necessarily the most accurate in terms of reflecting the actual components of the BCS, but they do give an interesting first look at the BCS picture.

Without the Harris Interactive Poll (1/3 of the formula) and two of the six computers (all six of which account for another third), these rankings are about 56 percent “complete.” What we do have, however, is the USA Today Coaches’ Poll, as well as early looks at Kenneth Massey, Richard Billingsley, Jeff Sagarin and the Colley Matrix, for what we’d call a 56 percent confidence that these rankings are a “good” reflection of the BCS.

We took a computer aggregate without eliminating any of the four available to keep extra transparency, but kept the formula for the human elements intact while subbing the AP Poll for the Harris Poll.

The first BCS rankings will be available later this month, but for now, this will have to do.

Check out the full simulation worksheet. These simulated ranking reflect the following formula:

BCS Score = (AP Poll Score/1500 + Coaches Poll Score/1475 + Computer Poll Aggregate/100)/3

Here are the simulated rankings after week five:

Simulated BCS Standings — October 1

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .9660
2 Oregon Ducks .8548
3 LSU Tigers .8443
4 Florida State Seminoles .8038
5 Georgia Bulldogs .8022
6 South Carolina Gamecocks .7950
7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .7386
8 Kansas State Wildcats .7268
9 West Virginia Mountaineers .7005
10 Florida Gators .6378
11 Texas Longhorns .6355
12 Oregon State Beavers .5228
13 TCU Horned Frogs .4077
14 USC Trojans .3867
15 Stanford Cardinal .3719
16 Oklahoma Sooners .3437