BCS Computer Rankings Week Eight: Alabama Gets Just Enough

With the knowledge that Oklahoma State was set to make up ground in the computers after a victory over Oklahoma, Alabama faithful had to hope the damage wasn’t too severe. And it wasn’t.

The Crimson Tide retained a .930 computer share, which was integral to them retaining the No. 2 spot in the final BCS standings.

Oklahoma State’s .950 proved to just not be enough.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Eight (December 4)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
2 Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Alabama Alabama
3 Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St.
4 Stanford Stanford Kansas St. Kansas St. Arkansas Arkansas
5 Kansas St. Oregon Stanford Arkansas Kansas St. Kansas St.
6 Oklahoma Boise St. Boise St. Baylor Oklahoma Oregon

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Eight (December 4)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 1.000
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys .950
3 Alabama Crimson Tide .930
4 Kansas State Wildcats .850
5 Arkansas Razorbacks .800
5 Stanford Cardinal .800
7 Oklahoma Sooners .760
8 Oregon Ducks .710
9 Boise State Broncos .680
10 South Carolina Gamecocks .670
11 Baylor Bears .660
12 Georgia Bulldogs .490

Harris Interactive Poll Week 14: Alabama Stays Far Enough Ahead of Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State rises to No. 3, but its not enough to leap Alabama here or in the BCS standings.

Harris Interactive College Football Poll – December 4

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 2875 1.000
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 2723 .947
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys 2654 .923
4 Stanford Cardinal 2504 .871
5 Oregon Ducks 2372 .825
6 Boise State Broncos 2236 .778
7 Arkansas Razorbacks 2163 .752
8 Wisconsin Badgers 2060 .717
9 South Carolina Gamecocks 1833 .638
10 Kansas State Wildcats 1733 .603
11 Virginia Tech Hokies 1498 .521
12 Michigan Wolverines 1447 .503

Final BCS Rankings of 2011: LSU and Alabama Finish an SEC-Dominated Season On Top

The rematch is on.

With the release of the final BCS standings, the Bowl Championship Series has spoken, and we’re headed for the first-ever rematch of a regular season game in the BCS title game.

LSU and Alabama did enough in the eyes of the voters and the computers to do just that, and come Jan. 9, the entire country will be tuned in to see whether LSU’s defense can once again stifle Alabama or if the Crimson Tide can turn the tide on the Tigers.

Oklahoma State lands on the outside looking in, instead headed off to the Fiesta Bowl to take on a very game Stanford team, who finishes in the No. 3 slot.

No. 5 Oregon, boosted on the power of huge leaps in human poll support, is on its way to the Rose Bowl to take on No. 10 Wisconsin, whose Big Ten title game victory over Michigan State brought the Badgers back into the top 10 and ensured one of the best looking matchups among the BCS bowls, at least on paper.

The four teams that follow Oregon were all left out of the BCS picture, as Arkansas, Boise State, Kansas State and South Carolina will have to settle for non-BCS bowls after commendable seasons in three tough conferences.

A surprise berth for No. 11 Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl certainly ruffled some feathers, but the Hokies had an impressive season, and will face off against No. 13 Michigan in New Orleans on Jan. 2.

All in all, the BCS standings once again brought about debate, consternation and excitement until the end. Whether you agree with the decisions the system made, it’s what we’ve got, and we’re not headed for a slate of 35 bowl games — some duds and some spectacular matchups — that will certainly provide for entertainment value throughout December and January. Enjoy.

Here’s the final BCS rankings of 2011:

BCS Standings Week Eight — December 4

Rank Team BCS Score
1 LSU Tigers 1.000
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .9419
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys .9333
4 Stanford Cardinal .8476
5 Oregon Ducks .7901
6 Arkansas Razorbacks .7687
7 Boise State Broncos .7408
8 Kansas State Wildcats .6827
9 South Carolina Gamecocks .6553
10 Wisconsin Badgers .6374
11 Virginia Tech Hokies .5190
12 Baylor Bears .4977
13 Michigan Wolverines .4794
14 Oklahoma Sooners .4603
15 Clemson Tigers .4218
16 Georgia Bulldogs .4119

Some thoughts:

USA Today Coaches’ Poll Week 14: Oklahoma State to No. 3

Oklahoma State receives the third spot. Is it enough?

USA Today Coaches’ Poll – December 4

Rank Team Votes Share of Vote
1 LSU Tigers 1475 1.000
2 Alabama Crimson Tide 1399 .948
3 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1367 .927
4 Stanford Cardinal 1286 .872
5 Oregon Ducks 1232 .835
6 Boise State Broncos 1128 .765
7 Arkansas Razorbacks 1112 .754
8 Wisconsin Badgers 1085 .736
9 South Carolina Gamecocks 971 .658
10 Kansas State Wildcats 878 .595
11 Virginia Tech Hokies 835 .566
12 Michigan Wolverines 789 .535

Final Projected BCS Standings: LSU and Oklahoma State to Meet For BCS Title

Fourteen weeks, and there seems no quelling of the debate and uproar about who deserves what in the college football landscape. That being said, however, the 2011 regular season is complete, and now our attention must turn to the BCS standings and bowls to be announced tomorrow.

The thing that is causing the most debate, of course, is the possible rematch awaiting the country in the BCS title game. And for those who are against it, do be prepared to weather the storm of the rematch, but a swaying of opinion has occurred, and for what it’s worth, Oklahoma State should be on its way to the BCS title game.

Alabama will just miss out on its chance at a rematch, finishing at No. 3, with Stanford just behind the Cowboys at No. 4.

So. Why? It comes down to persuasion. Virginia Tech needs to be replaced on ballots. Oklahoma State whipped Oklahoma up and down the field. Houston is no longer a factor. Boise State can be forgotten. Oklahoma State stands as the team most of the country (save the Alabama faithful) wants to see get a chance.

The pollsters can make up the difference. And I believe they will. There’s no need for Oklahoma State to leap Alabama. They just need to be very close. And they will be. Oklahoma State can make up some distance in the computers.

Of course, this is a simple projection, and nothing about it is absolute. There are, however, other components which are more absolute when the BCS pairings are announced tomorrow.

  • Oregon, as champion of the Pac-12, is headed to the Rose Bowl to face Wisconsin, the Big Ten’s conference champion.
  • Clemson is on its way to the Orange Bowl as the ACC champion, as the ACC is bound to the bowl unless the ACC champ is playing in the national title game.
  • West Virginia will likely be the recipient of the Big East’s BCS bowl bid. After sharing the regular season crown in the conference with Cincinnati and Louisville, the Mountaineers will assuredly win the tiebreaker for the conference’s bid by finishing highest among the three teams in the final BCS rankings.
  • TCU, if it can finish ahead of the highest ranking Big East team and ahead of Southern Miss, which is likely, and vault into the top 16 will receive a BCS bowl bid as the highest-ranking non-AQ conference champion that ranks ahead of a AQ conference champion in the top 16.

Oklahoma State will be assured of a BCS bid. But will it be in the title game? If these projections hold up, it will be. Stanford at No. 4, will not be afforded an automatic bid to the BCS as it was last season at No. 4, but will likely be a very eligible team for any BCS bowl to select.

Boise State, Kansas State, Michigan, Houston and Oklahoma will all also likely be eligible come tomorrow. Who will take those remaining slots? Michigan is likely to cross the top 14 threshold to get into the BCS, but TCU is likely to miss out. Check out our BCS Bowl projections here.

That’s the bowl picture — it’s messy at best — but the BCS standings shouldn’t be so difficult to digest when they’re released tomorrow.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of all of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standing will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Eight (December 4th)

Rank Team
1 LSU Tigers
2 Oklahoma State Cowboys
3 Alabama Crimson Tide
4 Stanford Cardinal
5 Boise State Broncos
6 Arkansas Razorbacks
7 Oregon Ducks
8 Kansas State Wildcats
9 Wisconsin Badgers
10 South Carolina Gamecocks
11 Baylor Bears
12 Oklahoma Sooners

Projected 2012 BCS Bowls – December 4th

A year of debate and consternation about the system, the teams and everything in between has come to a close. With 14 weeks in the books, we’re finally at the moment where the BCS is readying its slate of games.

Are we headed for a rematch in the title game? Or is Oklahoma State going to get the support they need to make a trip to the title game?

Whether you agree with it or not, the BCS certainly has delivered the framework for another slate of interesting games, and when the bowls are announced Sunday night, we’ll have the opportunity to revel in some really solid college football matchups.

For reference, the at-large selection order for the 2012 bowl slate (after hosting contracts have been filled and the NCG is filled) is: Fiesta, Sugar, Orange.

BCS National Championship Game: LSU Tigers (BCS No. 1) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (BCS No. 2)

Comment: Risky as this prediction is, the public’s view point has been swayed, and there’s no denying it. LSU deserves this bid, no doubt, but so does Oklahoma State. The 174 voters will have to own up to their selections tomorrow, and how can they justify denying Oklahoma State its first shot at LSU when Alabama already had its shot?

Rose Bowl: Oregon Ducks (Pac-12 Champion) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (Big Ten Champion)

Comment: Two teams that simply needed to cash in opportunities in their respective conference championship games to get to the Rose Bowl did just that, as Oregon and Wisconsin were victorious in the Pac-12 and Big Ten’s first annual championship games. Oregon took care of UCLA while Wisconsin took care of Michigan State, and now the two will meet in Pasadena on Jan. 2.

Sugar Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide (At-large selection) vs. Boise State Broncos (At-large selection)

Comment: Not losing Alabama to the title game slots them right into the Sugar Bowl, as the bowl will be ecstatic to grab an SEC team with its first replacement selection.

Pitting Boise State against Alabama would be an intriguing matchup for the Sugar Bowl, plus the growing national appeal of the Broncos could be attractive for the Sugar Bowl.

Orange Bowl: Clemson Tigers (ACC Champion) vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (Big East Champion)

Comment: Clemson, early season surprises and then surprising entrants in the national title conversation, saw their stock slide dramatically in the middle of the season. But the Tigers persevered, clinching a spot in the ACC title game. Then, when faced with a Virginia Tech team they had already beaten this season, the Tigers put on a show, and will represent the conference in the Orange Bowl as ACC champs.

A tie atop the final regular season standings among West Virginia, Louisville and Cincinnati turned the onus for deciding the conference’s BCS participant to the BCS standings. When the standings are released late Sunday night, West Virginia will likely be the one to grab that tiebreaker by finishing highest among the three in the final set of BCS standings.

Fiesta Bowl: Stanford Cardinal (At-large selection) vs. Michigan Wolverines (At-large selection)

Comment: Losing Oklahoma State to the title game, the Fiesta Bowl receives the second replacement pick, and with no strong Big 12 team to support the Fiesta Bowl, don’t be surprised if they call Michigan’s name. Of course, the Wolverines will have to be eligible, but it seems that Michigan will just get enough support tomorrow to make itself available for this game.

Stanford’s growing national appeal should be enough to allow the Cardinal to grab another BCS bowl bid. Plus, as a top-four BCS team, Stanford being left out of the BCS would look unfortunate for the BCS as a whole.