Second 2013 BCS Rankings: Oregon Laps Florida State For No. 2 After One Week

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The fight at the top of the BCS rankings got a little less competitive just one week after Oregon lagged behind Florida State by just .003 in the BCS for No. 2 last week.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Florida State Seminoles
4 Ohio State Buckeyes
5 Stanford Cardinal
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Yes, after one week of simmering controversy over the fact that Florida State was No. 2 in the BCS but No. 3 in both polls, Oregon storms right ahead of the Seminoles for the No. 2 spot. And it’s not nearly as close this week.

A strong showing in the computers gives Oregon the No. 2 spot by more than .030, more than 10 times the lead Florida State had last weekend. Can Florida State make up that ground? That’ll be the question moving forward.

After Missouri’s loss this weekend, we were expecting some shifting in the next part of the BCS, but unexpectedly, Stanford’s showing across the board was enough to push the one-loss Cardinal past undefeated Baylor to No. 5, while Baylor rests at No. 6. Baylor was largely unable to close the gap on Stanford in the computers, lagging .19 behind the Cardinal in the computer aggregate, which was enough to give Stanford No. 5.

Miami bows at No. 7, Clemson is in at No. 8 and Missouri falls only four spots to No. 9 after losing to South Carolina, which themselves climbs a handful of spots, but nearly as many as we had anticipated.

Oklahoma is back into the top-10 at No. 10, while Auburn is steady at No. 11 and Texas A&M rounds out the top 12 after climbing four impressive spots in one week.

Of interest — No. 16 Fresno State stays one spot ahead of No. 17 Northern Illinois for the second straight week, as expected. Can the Bulldogs hold off the Huskies in a year where a BCS buster seems all the more likely? It’ll be a chase to the spot if both finish undefeated.

With just six weeks of BCS rankings left ever, we’re in the most important stretch of the season. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout the coming weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the second BCS rankings of 2013:

BCS Standings Week Two — October 27th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .9937
2 Oregon Ducks .9517
3 Florida State Seminoles .9211
4 Ohio State Buckeyes .8840
5 Stanford Cardinal .7918
6 Baylor Bears .7645
7 Miami Hurricanes .7560
8 Clemson Tigers .6687
9 Missouri Tigers .6096
10 Oklahoma Sooners .6064
11 Auburn Tigers .6025
12 Texas A&M Aggies .4812
13 LSU Tigers .4630
14 South Carolina Gamecocks .4486
15 Texas Tech Red Raiders .3749
16 Fresno State Bulldogs .3669

Some thoughts:

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BCS Computer Rankings Week Two: Alabama Sprints Ahead In Computers

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After the first BCS rankings inaugurated Florida State as the nation’s No. 1 team in the computers, a second week of BCS rankings shows that the computers have begun to favor Alabama strongly.

The top teams according to the computers match the BCS rankings in the top five, as Alabama through Stanford turn out in order.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Two (October 27)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Alabama Alabama Oregon Alabama Florida St. Alabama
2 Florida St. Oregon Alabama Oregon Alabama Florida St.
3 Oregon Ohio St. Ohio St. Florida St. N. Illinois Oregon
4 Ohio St. Stanford Florida St. Stanford Oregon Ohio St.
5 Miami Florida St. Stanford Missouri Ohio St. Auburn
6 Stanford Oklahoma Miami Auburn Stanford Stanford

And the aggregate BCS computer rankings:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Two (October 27)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .990
2 Oregon Ducks .940
3 Florida State Seminoles .930
4 Ohio State Buckeyes .880
5 Stanford Cardinal .830
6 Miami Hurricanes .740
7 Auburn Tigers .730
8 Missouri Tigers .710
9 Oklahoma Sooners .650
10 Baylor Bears .640
10 Clemson Tigers .640
12 South Carolina Gamecocks .540

Projected BCS Standings: Oregon To Claim No. 2 In Second BCS Standings of 2013

BCSWeek2

Time seems to run out slowly when you’re making a chase for a BCS bid. Whether it’s on the clock to hold on to the last-second victory or the weeks ticking slowly by in the last BCS year.

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Florida State Seminoles
4 Ohio State Buckeyes
5 Stanford Cardinal
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Teams from around the country had little trouble dispatching of less difficult foes, but for a few teams, the time needed to get victories on Saturday must have seemed to move extra slow.

And in the case of Missouri, a crushing loss was probably already a death sentence for the season as far as a national title game bid is concerned.

So what else, if anything, did we learn this week? Mostly that the nation’s top BCS teams in its first iteration — Alabama, Oregon and Florida State — are very good. This week, like last week, we’ll see a fight to the finish for No. 2 between Oregon and Florida State.

The better victory this week belongs to the Ducks and not the Seminoles, and with that in mind, expect Oregon to make enough headway in the computers and the human polls to end the Seminoles one-week run at No. 2. Oregon is projected to take back that spot this week.

Elsewhere, the Ducks’ Pac-12 mates Stanford and Big 12 surprise Baylor will be the likely beneficiaries of the Missouri loss, as the Cardinal and Bears will fight for the No. 5 spot, along with Miami. Also look out for Oklahoma, fresh off a victory over previous No. 10 Texas Tech.

An interesting fight is also breaking out between Fresno State and Northern Illinois. Fresno State might remain ahead of Northern Illinois after the Bulldogs finished of San Diego State in OT and the Huskies had an easy victory, mostly because of the lateness of Fresno’s game. But the truly interesting part will come when the BCS rankings wind down. Who will be in front? For now we’re projecting that the Huskies will, even with Fresno possibly taking these first two weeks as the leader in the BCS buster clubhouse.

It’ll all be somewhat familiar when the second BCS rankings are released tomorrow, but with some changes that could play into the chase for the title game when the season winds up. The minutia becomes all the more important this time of year. Good thing we’re here to take a look at it.

Remember, we’ll be here to take you through all of it, starting with tomorrow’s releases of the human polls, computer rankings and BCS. Follow along all day @BCSKnowHow and here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of the computers, human polls and everything in between. Then follow along this week as we break down scenarios and implications.

Here’s what the BCS standings will likely look like when they are released tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week Two (October 27)

Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Oregon Ducks
3 Florida State Seminoles
4 Ohio State Buckeyes
5 Stanford Cardinal
6 Baylor Bears
7 Miami Hurricanes
8 Clemson Tigers
9 Oklahoma Sooners
10 South Carolina Gamecocks
11 Missouri Tigers
12 Auburn Tigers

BCS Computer Rankings Week Two: Kansas State gains wider support among computers

As indicated by their climb to No. 3 in this week’s BCS rankings, the Kansas State Wildcats were the beneficiaries of some increases in support among all three BCS components — the computers included.

The Wildcats capture the second-highest BCS computer aggregate score this week, sliding past Notre Dame, which had been riding alongside Florida in terms of computer support on the year. Notre Dame is down only a bit, to No. 3, while Alabama continues to lag slightly at No. 4.

The Crimson Tide are not harmed, however, as they are still a convincing overall No. 1 in this week’s BCS rankings.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Two (October 21)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Kansas St. Alabama Florida Florida Florida Kansas St.
2 Florida Oregon Notre Dame Notre Dame Kansas St. Florida
3 Oregon St. Notre Dame Oregon St. Kansas St. Alabama Alabama
4 Notre Dame Kansas St. Alabama Oregon St. LSU Oregon St.
5 Alabama Florida Kansas St. Alabama Notre Dame Notre Dame
6 Oregon LSU Oregon Oregon Oregon St. LSU

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Two (October 21)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Florida Gators .980
2 Kansas State Wildcats .940
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .900
4 Alabama Crimson Tide .890
5 Oregon State Beavers .870
6 Oregon Ducks .790
7 LSU Tigers .780
8 Oklahoma Sooners .700
9 Texas Tech Red Raiders .660
10 South Carolina Gamecocks .620
11 Rutgers Scarlet Knights .560
11 Stanford Cardinal .560

Second BCS Rankings of 2012: Kansas State leaps past Oregon for No. 3 slot

Try as it might, Oregon can’t seem to catch a break. Undefeated and taking care of business so far in 2012, Oregon slips a spot again in this week’s BCS standings, as Kansas State jumps to the No. 3 spot in the latest BCS rankings.

Official BCS Rankings
Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 Florida Gators
3 Kansas State Wildcats
4 Oregon Ducks
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Scroll down for more

An interesting set of circumstances led to the Wildcats’ jump past the Ducks. Because of Kansas State’s blowout victory over West Virginia, the Wildcats were able to get a big bounce in both the polls and the computers. Already with a sizable lead in the computers over Oregon, the Wildcats made up the difference in the polls that they needed to just slide by the Ducks in the second BCS rankings.

For its part, Florida was able to retain the surprising No. 2 spot it claimed in last week’s first BCS rankings, in fact bringing its BCS score up with an increase in human polls and computer support.

So Oregon lands at No. 4, behind two teams that are behind the Ducks in both human elements, which make up two-thirds of the BCS formula. Can the distance be made up? The Ducks will be afforded the opportunity to make up some ground in the computer rankings in the coming weeks, but it remains to be seen what potential impact victories over BCS No. 9 USC and BCS No. 7 Oregon State could have. This will be the intrigue and controversy of the BCS for the next few weeks at least.

Further down the BCS rankings, Notre Dame remains a steady No. 5, with LSU hot at its heels at No. 6. Oregon State, Oklahoma and USC all jump one spot with South Carolina out of the way, while Georgia, Mississippi State and Florida State round out the top 12.

We’re all set up for the controversy we’ve become accustomed to when it comes to BCS rankings. Let’s find out how it all plays out. Be sure to stay tuned to BCS Know How and @BCSKnowHow throughout the coming weeks for all the latest analysis and news.

Here’s the second BCS rankings of 2012:

BCS Standings Week Two — October 21st

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Alabama Crimson Tide .9625
2 Florida Gators .9310
3 Kansas State Wildcats .9111
4 Oregon Ducks .8966
5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish .8512
6 LSU Tigers .7862
7 Oregon State Beavers .7421
8 Oklahoma Sooners .7126
9 USC Trojans .5767
10 Georgia Bulldogs .5379
11 Mississippi State Bulldogs .5265
12 Florida State Seminoles .4925
13 South Carolina Gamecocks .4797
14 Texas Tech Red Raiders .4736
15 Rutgers Scarlet Knights .4703
16 Louisville Cardinals .4196

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Solid across the top. Let’s look at spots 10-12. We projected a Mississippi State-Georgia-South Carolina finish. We got Georgia-Mis.s State-Florida State-South Carolina at 10-13. MSU just missed bumping the Georgia, and South Carolina just missed bumping Florida State.

BCS Computer Rankings Week Three: Stanford Gains Computer Support

Oklahoma State remains atop the computer ranking systems for a second straight week, but its Stanford who enjoys the biggest jump in support, as reflected in the most recent BCS standings.

Oklahoma also sees a strong rebound in support after its victory over previously undefeated Kansas State.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Three (October 30)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Oklahoma St. LSU Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St.
2 Alabama Oklahoma St. LSU LSU Alabama Alabama
3 LSU Alabama Alabama Alabama LSU LSU
4 Boise St. Stanford Boise St. Boise St. Arkansas Boise St.
5 Stanford Boise St. Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma Stanford
6 Oklahoma Oklahoma Stanford Kansas St. Boise St. Oklahoma

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Three (October 30)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1.000
2t Alabama Crimson Tide .940
2t LSU Tigers .940
4 Boise State Broncos .870
5 Oklahoma Sooners .820
6 Stanford Cardinal .800
7 Arkansas Razorbacks .700
8 Kansas State Wildcats .690
9 Clemson Tigers .670
10 South Carolina Gamecocks .640
11 Virginia Tech Hokies .560
12 Nebraska Cornhuskers .520

BCS Computer Rankings Week Two: Oklahoma State Scores Perfect Support From Computers

Oklahoma State takes all of the computer love this week, finishing first in five of the six computer rankings, and second in the sixth (Billingsley).

LSU and Alabama have plenty of support, sure, but Oklahoma State brings a different level of domination.

Here are the rankings of the six BCS computers:

Six BCS Computer Standings – BCS Week Two (October 23rd)

Rank Anderson Billingsley Colley Massey Sagarin Wolfe
1 Oklahoma St. LSU Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St.
2 Alabama Oklahoma St. Alabama LSU Alabama Alabama
3 LSU Alabama LSU Alabama LSU LSU
4 Kansas St. Boise St. Boise St. Clemson Clemson Clemson
5 Boise St. Clemson Clemson Kansas St. Kansas St. Kansas St.
6 Clemson Stanford Stanford Boise St. Arkansas Boise St.

And what the aggregate BCS computer rankings were:

BCS Computer Rankings Aggregate – BCS Week Two (October 23rd)

Rank Team Share of Vote
1 Oklahoma State Cowboys 1.000
2 Alabama Crimson Tide .950
3 LSU Tigers .930
4 Clemson Tigers .860
5 Boise State Broncos .830
5 Kansas State Wildcats .830
7 Oklahoma Sooners .690
8 Arkansas Razorbacks .670
9 Stanford Cardinal .660
10 Virginia Tech Hokies .640
11 Oregon Ducks .560
12 South Carolina Gamecocks .530