First BCS Rankings of 2010: Oklahoma, Oregon and Boise State Lead the Way

After one of the more hectic and unpredictable weekends in recent college football history, we as the college football nation were gifted with the 2010 season’s first BCS standings.

And what did we see atop those new rankings? A surprise.

Oklahoma, who had been a somewhat distant No. 4 in last week’s simulation of the BCS, benefited most from the precipitous falls of the nation’ title favorites these past two weeks and claimed the top spot in the year’s first BCS rankings.

Sure, Ohio State’s loss to Wisconsin opened up the spot for the Sooners, however the Sooners gained the most on Saturday from Texas’s victory over Nebraska. The Sooners’ victory over the Longhorns in the Red River Rivalry game now looks even more impressive to the computers and the voters, and it showed in the Sooners’ poll stats on Sunday.

Boise State, who I thought had the inside track to the No. 1 spot here, instead land at No. 3, which is still the highest-ever ranking for a non-AQ school.

The Broncos did not have a good weekend in the computers. When we last left the BCS computers, Boise had the second-best computer rankings, not so much this weekend. The Broncos come in a much lower computer ranking, as their victory over lowly San Jose State and Oregon State’s loss to Washington did not help their computer numbers.

Seemingly lost in this computer shuffle was Oregon, who was No. 1 in all three voter polls this weekend, but bow at No. 2 in the BCS standings, a victim of poor computer rankings.

Auburn takes a nice jump up towards the top with a victory over Arkansas, followed by TCU, LSU, Michigan State and Alabama.

The unbeaten SEC duo of Auburn and LSU will start playing knockout next week when the two sets of Tigers face off in another epic SEC showdown, the winner of which will likely get a nice BCS boost come next weekend.

So here’s this week’s first set of BCS rankings:

BCS Standings Week One – October 17th

Rank Team BCS Score
1 Oklahoma Sooners .9215
2 Oregon Ducks .8921
3 Boise State Broncos .8898
4 Auburn Tigers .8641
5 TCU Horned Frogs .8573
6 LSU Tigers .8245
7 Michigan State Spartans .7628
8 Alabama Crimson Tide .6654
9 Utah Utes .6540
10 Ohio State Buckeyes .5726
11 Missouri Tigers .5491
12 Stanford Cardinal .5374
13 Wisconsin Badgers .5335
14 Oklahoma State Cowboys .5261
15 Iowa Hawkeyes .4824
16 Nebraska Cornhuskers .4295

Some thoughts:

  • BCS Know How’s Projected BCS vs. Actual BCS Rankings
    • Unfortunately, not the strongest of starts. However I was not alone in thinking Boise would be atop these rankings. Switch No. 1 and No. 3, and I’m golden.
    • Did accurately predict the poor performance from Oregon because of computers and strong performances from Auburn and Michigan State.
    • I truly believe the Broncos are getting short changed and Oklahoma is getting too much love, which explains my slip-ups. I see no reason they should have jumped TCU in the Coaches’ Poll. It must be fear or tethering to old beliefs that causes these rifts between analysts and voters.
  • Alabama is still alive, however the gap between the Tide and No. 7 Michigan State is large, although not insurmountable if both run the table the rest of the way.
  • The gap from 1-3 is minuscule and can change on a weekly basis, even with wins across the board. Watch out for 2010 to be one of the more unpredictable seasons on record.
  • The group from 1-3 should be safe next week, while the group 4-6 will need some help to climb into those spots.