Projected BCS Standings: Alabama to Debut at No. 1 in the First BCS Rankings of 2011

Undefeated teams being weeded out by lesser opponents, top teams feeling the pressure early and late and everyone from Eugene to Tuscaloosa hyped about human poll rankings and decimal points on a computer scale? Must almost be time for the first BCS rankings of the year.

With plenty of intriguing and exciting games thus far this season, the upheaval we’ve become accustomed to in the college football landscape isn’t gone — but it certainly hasn’t been quite the same this year.

Alabama, LSU and Oklahoma make up a trio of undoubtedly the strongest tier of teams in the nation, and that will be reflected in tomorrow’s BCS rankings. Teams such as Wisconsin, Oklahoma State, Boise State and Stanford are right behind them.

With the first rankings due out tomorrow, many might wonder the implications of the top teams in the nation and where they land. The truth of the matter, of course, is that they wont matter much.

Alabama and LSU are set to play Nov. 5, and if both remain undefeated until that time, well, it doesn’t matter even a bit where they land any of the next few weeks in these BCS rankings. Oklahoma and Oklahoma State are also looking forward to a Bedlam with national title implications, and undefeated Sooners and Cowboys come Dec. 3 could easily mean two de facto national semifinals a whole month apart.

So does it matter where they land Sunday? Nope, but it’s intriguing all the same.

LSU topped last week’s first Harris Poll, while Oklahoma continued to ride high in the Coaches’ element. To round out the trio, Alabama topped three of the available computer polls to LSU and Oklahoma’s one a piece. So who comes out on top this week?

One thing’s for certain. It’s going to be close. And it might come down to the slight changes in the computer polls, as we’ve seen human pollsters be somewhat stubborn this season in moving teams around, even if they don’t look the part of their ranking in victories.

As far as the computers are concerned, LSU’s victory over Tennessee is the strongest of the three victories on the weekend, while the Tigers’ victory over Oregon looks better by comparison after the Ducks topped Arizona State on Saturday. Alabama’s victory over Arkansas also looks better every week.

So the calculation is close. How close? Right now, the difference between the three is miniscule, about .007 actually. Any slight change could spell any of the three taking No. 1 tomorrow.

It’s anyone’s for the taking. Follow along all day tomorrow @BCSKnowHow and right here to stay up to the second with projections, mathematical breakdowns of all of the computers, human polls and everything in between.

Got all that? Hope so.

Here’s what the BCS standing will likely look like when they are released tomorrow at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN:

Projected BCS Standings – BCS Week One (October 16th)

Rank Team
1 Alabama Crimson Tide
2 LSU Tigers
3 Oklahoma Sooners
4 Oklahoma State Cowboys
5 Boise State Broncos
6 Wisconsin Badgers
7 Clemson Tigers
8 Stanford Cardinal
9 Oregon Ducks
10 Arkansas Razorbacks
11 South Carolina Gamecocks
12 Kansas State Wildcats

3 thoughts on “Projected BCS Standings: Alabama to Debut at No. 1 in the First BCS Rankings of 2011

  1. My math says (nothing that Wisconsin, Boise, and Ok State could all easily be switched around 4-6)

    I think OU will drop in votes as they had some trouble against a very weak Kansas team, while LSU/Bama/Wisconsin had no issues whatsoever. But since margin of victory is not in any of the computer calculations, Oklahoma will not take a hit in any of the computers.

    My BCS Predictions for week 1:

    1) LSU
    2) Bama
    3) OU
    4) Boise State
    5) Wisconsin
    6) OK State
    7) Clemson
    8) Stanford
    9) Arkansas
    10) Oregon

  2. My revised calculations with the new polls out:
    1) Bama
    2) OU
    3) LSU
    4) OK State
    5) Boise State
    6) Wisconsin
    7) Clemson
    8) Stanford
    9) Arkansas
    10) Oregon
    11) K State
    12) S Carolina
    13) Nebraska
    14) VT
    15) Michigan
    16) WVU
    17) Illinois
    18) Michigan State
    19) Houston
    20) Texas A&M
    21) Texas
    22) Penn State
    23) Auburn
    24) GT
    25) Arizona State

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